The heavily Republican partisan lean of Texas’s 8th congressional district, which delivered strong margins for Republican candidates in recent cycles and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index well into positive territory for the party, underpins the 93.5% Republican odds in this open-seat race. Incumbent Morgan Luttrell’s retirement opened the contest, but Jessica Steinmann secured the nomination with 68% in the March 2026 primary after securing endorsements from President Trump, Governor Abbott, Senator Cruz, and Luttrell himself. Laura Jones emerged as the Democratic nominee, yet race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A late national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific development could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Republican nominee.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$18,992 Объем
$18,992 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
6%
$18,992 Объем
$18,992 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$8,298 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$10,694 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Republican partisan lean of Texas’s 8th congressional district, which delivered strong margins for Republican candidates in recent cycles and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index well into positive territory for the party, underpins the 93.5% Republican odds in this open-seat race. Incumbent Morgan Luttrell’s retirement opened the contest, but Jessica Steinmann secured the nomination with 68% in the March 2026 primary after securing endorsements from President Trump, Governor Abbott, Senator Cruz, and Luttrell himself. Laura Jones emerged as the Democratic nominee, yet race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A late national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific development could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$18,992Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Republican partisan lean of Texas’s 8th congressional district, which delivered strong margins for Republican candidates in recent cycles and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index well into positive territory for the party, underpins the 93.5% Republican odds in this open-seat race. Incumbent Morgan Luttrell’s retirement opened the contest, but Jessica Steinmann secured the nomination with 68% in the March 2026 primary after securing endorsements from President Trump, Governor Abbott, Senator Cruz, and Luttrell himself. Laura Jones emerged as the Democratic nominee, yet race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A late national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific development could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$18,992Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Republican partisan lean of Texas’s 8th congressional district, which delivered strong margins for Republican candidates in recent cycles and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index well into positive territory for the party, underpins the 93.5% Republican odds in this open-seat race. Incumbent Morgan Luttrell’s retirement opened the contest, but Jessica Steinmann secured the nomination with 68% in the March 2026 primary after securing endorsements from President Trump, Governor Abbott, Senator Cruz, and Luttrell himself. Laura Jones emerged as the Democratic nominee, yet race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A late national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific development could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Republican nominee.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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