The Republican nominee Craig Goldman maintains a commanding lead in Texas’s 12th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The district’s suburban and rural North Texas voters have delivered reliable support for GOP House candidates, reinforced by Goldman’s unopposed or low-opposition advance through the March 2026 Republican primary. Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman confronts structural limits in fundraising, voter base mobilization, and turnout patterns typical of the seat. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, aligning with the 90.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow margins, though historical patterns indicate these would need exceptional conditions to overcome the district baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-12 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-12 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$25,082 Объем
$25,082 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
91%
Демократическая партия
7%
$25,082 Объем
$25,082 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$15,314 Объем
91%
Демократическая партия
$9,768 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee Craig Goldman maintains a commanding lead in Texas’s 12th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The district’s suburban and rural North Texas voters have delivered reliable support for GOP House candidates, reinforced by Goldman’s unopposed or low-opposition advance through the March 2026 Republican primary. Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman confronts structural limits in fundraising, voter base mobilization, and turnout patterns typical of the seat. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, aligning with the 90.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow margins, though historical patterns indicate these would need exceptional conditions to overcome the district baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$25,082Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee Craig Goldman maintains a commanding lead in Texas’s 12th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The district’s suburban and rural North Texas voters have delivered reliable support for GOP House candidates, reinforced by Goldman’s unopposed or low-opposition advance through the March 2026 Republican primary. Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman confronts structural limits in fundraising, voter base mobilization, and turnout patterns typical of the seat. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, aligning with the 90.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow margins, though historical patterns indicate these would need exceptional conditions to overcome the district baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$25,082Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee Craig Goldman maintains a commanding lead in Texas’s 12th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. The district’s suburban and rural North Texas voters have delivered reliable support for GOP House candidates, reinforced by Goldman’s unopposed or low-opposition advance through the March 2026 Republican primary. Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman confronts structural limits in fundraising, voter base mobilization, and turnout patterns typical of the seat. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, aligning with the 90.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow margins, though historical patterns indicate these would need exceptional conditions to overcome the district baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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