Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 100% of the vote, bolstering trader consensus on her reelection in the Solid Republican-rated TX-24, a suburban Dallas-Fort Worth district she won by 21 points in 2024 despite minor map tweaks from 2025 redistricting. Her $2.8 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democratic contenders, reflecting fundraising dominance per recent FEC filings. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Kevin Burge (48% in first round) and TJ Ware (26%), but weak overall turnout and low resources signal an uphill path in this R-leaning seat per Cook Political Report's May update. Markets price Republican victory at 69.5% implied probability amid stable fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-24 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-24 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,097 Объем
$26,097 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
68%
Демократическая партия
25%
$26,097 Объем
$26,097 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$11,168 Объем
68%
Демократическая партия
$14,929 Объем
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 100% of the vote, bolstering trader consensus on her reelection in the Solid Republican-rated TX-24, a suburban Dallas-Fort Worth district she won by 21 points in 2024 despite minor map tweaks from 2025 redistricting. Her $2.8 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democratic contenders, reflecting fundraising dominance per recent FEC filings. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Kevin Burge (48% in first round) and TJ Ware (26%), but weak overall turnout and low resources signal an uphill path in this R-leaning seat per Cook Political Report's May update. Markets price Republican victory at 69.5% implied probability amid stable fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$26,097Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 100% of the vote, bolstering trader consensus on her reelection in the Solid Republican-rated TX-24, a suburban Dallas-Fort Worth district she won by 21 points in 2024 despite minor map tweaks from 2025 redistricting. Her $2.8 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democratic contenders, reflecting fundraising dominance per recent FEC filings. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Kevin Burge (48% in first round) and TJ Ware (26%), but weak overall turnout and low resources signal an uphill path in this R-leaning seat per Cook Political Report's May update. Markets price Republican victory at 69.5% implied probability amid stable fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,097Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 100% of the vote, bolstering trader consensus on her reelection in the Solid Republican-rated TX-24, a suburban Dallas-Fort Worth district she won by 21 points in 2024 despite minor map tweaks from 2025 redistricting. Her $2.8 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democratic contenders, reflecting fundraising dominance per recent FEC filings. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Kevin Burge (48% in first round) and TJ Ware (26%), but weak overall turnout and low resources signal an uphill path in this R-leaning seat per Cook Political Report's May update. Markets price Republican victory at 69.5% implied probability amid stable fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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