Incumbent Rep. Roger Williams (R) dominates trader consensus at 86% implied probability to retain TX-25, a solidly Republican district with Cook PVI R+11, bolstered by his unopposed March primary victory, history of landslide margins—including 99% in 2024—and $1.1 million cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Dione Sims (D), who won the April 9 Democratic primary runoff 61%-39% over William Marks, trails at 11% amid fundraising disparities and no competitive polling. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the race on track for November 3 amid national midterm dynamics that could influence turnout in this battleground-leaning safe seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-25 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-25 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
87%
Демократическая партия
11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$2,192 Объем
87%
Демократическая партия
$1,394 Объем
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Roger Williams (R) dominates trader consensus at 86% implied probability to retain TX-25, a solidly Republican district with Cook PVI R+11, bolstered by his unopposed March primary victory, history of landslide margins—including 99% in 2024—and $1.1 million cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Dione Sims (D), who won the April 9 Democratic primary runoff 61%-39% over William Marks, trails at 11% amid fundraising disparities and no competitive polling. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the race on track for November 3 amid national midterm dynamics that could influence turnout in this battleground-leaning safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$3,586Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Roger Williams (R) dominates trader consensus at 86% implied probability to retain TX-25, a solidly Republican district with Cook PVI R+11, bolstered by his unopposed March primary victory, history of landslide margins—including 99% in 2024—and $1.1 million cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Dione Sims (D), who won the April 9 Democratic primary runoff 61%-39% over William Marks, trails at 11% amid fundraising disparities and no competitive polling. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the race on track for November 3 amid national midterm dynamics that could influence turnout in this battleground-leaning safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$3,586Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Roger Williams (R) dominates trader consensus at 86% implied probability to retain TX-25, a solidly Republican district with Cook PVI R+11, bolstered by his unopposed March primary victory, history of landslide margins—including 99% in 2024—and $1.1 million cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Dione Sims (D), who won the April 9 Democratic primary runoff 61%-39% over William Marks, trails at 11% amid fundraising disparities and no competitive polling. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the race on track for November 3 amid national midterm dynamics that could influence turnout in this battleground-leaning safe seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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