The TX-30 district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins such as the 2024 presidential performance, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold. The open seat created by incumbent Jasmine Crockett's Senate bid did not alter fundamentals, as Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination with over 72 percent in the March primary against limited opposition. Republican nominee Everett Jackson faces structural headwinds in a district spanning heavily Democratic areas of southern Dallas County. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Only late-cycle developments such as a significant candidate scandal, health issue, or dramatic national realignment would realistically narrow the gap enough to shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-30 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-30 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$42,644 Объем
$42,644 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
3%
$42,644 Объем
$42,644 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$5,578 Объем
96%
Республиканская партия
$37,067 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-30 district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins such as the 2024 presidential performance, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold. The open seat created by incumbent Jasmine Crockett's Senate bid did not alter fundamentals, as Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination with over 72 percent in the March primary against limited opposition. Republican nominee Everett Jackson faces structural headwinds in a district spanning heavily Democratic areas of southern Dallas County. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Only late-cycle developments such as a significant candidate scandal, health issue, or dramatic national realignment would realistically narrow the gap enough to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$42,644Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-30 district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins such as the 2024 presidential performance, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold. The open seat created by incumbent Jasmine Crockett's Senate bid did not alter fundamentals, as Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination with over 72 percent in the March primary against limited opposition. Republican nominee Everett Jackson faces structural headwinds in a district spanning heavily Democratic areas of southern Dallas County. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Only late-cycle developments such as a significant candidate scandal, health issue, or dramatic national realignment would realistically narrow the gap enough to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$42,644Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-30 district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins such as the 2024 presidential performance, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold. The open seat created by incumbent Jasmine Crockett's Senate bid did not alter fundamentals, as Democrat Frederick Haynes III secured the nomination with over 72 percent in the March primary against limited opposition. Republican nominee Everett Jackson faces structural headwinds in a district spanning heavily Democratic areas of southern Dallas County. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Only late-cycle developments such as a significant candidate scandal, health issue, or dramatic national realignment would realistically narrow the gap enough to shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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