The open TX-30 seat, vacated by Rep. Jasmine Crockett’s Senate bid, features Democrat Frederick Haynes III and Republican Everett Jackson in a district redrawn in 2025 to include southern Dallas County and portions of Tarrant County. Haynes secured the Democratic nomination with strong local name recognition as a longtime pastor and community advocate, while Jackson advanced from a low-profile Republican primary with limited fundraising. Historical voting patterns in the area and the absence of competitive polling have kept trader focus on final certified margins near the 65-point range. Ongoing vote tabulation, turnout in key precincts, and any late adjustments to unofficial counts could narrow or widen the spread before resolution.