Several midfielders and fullbacks have posted nearly identical disciplinary records of four or five yellow cards through the knockout stages, leaving traders to view Borna Sosa, Pathé Ismaël Ciss, Pep Chavarría, and Cher Ndour as essentially interchangeable frontrunners. Rayo Vallecano’s two representatives benefit from an extra fixture in the final against Crystal Palace, yet Sosa’s consistent involvement and Ndour’s earlier accumulation keep the probabilities within a single point of each other. No late disciplinary surges in the semi-final legs or confirmed rest rotations have shifted the balance, so the market continues to price the outcome as a tight four-way contest heading into the decisive match.