Ongoing military operations in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, combined with sustained government control under President Zelenskyy and prior foiling of alleged plots by Ukraine’s Security Service, continue to shape trader consensus on low near-term odds for a widely reported coup attempt. The most recent notable allegations date to mid-2024, when authorities detained individuals accused of planning unrest in Kyiv that could benefit Russian interests, with no comparable verified incidents since. Economic strains, wartime governance measures, and external diplomatic engagements further anchor stability assessments. Traders monitor potential catalysts through year-end 2026, including shifts in battlefield conditions, legislative actions, or external influence operations that could alter internal dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$169,153 Объем
31 декабря
8%
$169,153 Объем
31 декабря
8%
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military operations in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, combined with sustained government control under President Zelenskyy and prior foiling of alleged plots by Ukraine’s Security Service, continue to shape trader consensus on low near-term odds for a widely reported coup attempt. The most recent notable allegations date to mid-2024, when authorities detained individuals accused of planning unrest in Kyiv that could benefit Russian interests, with no comparable verified incidents since. Economic strains, wartime governance measures, and external diplomatic engagements further anchor stability assessments. Traders monitor potential catalysts through year-end 2026, including shifts in battlefield conditions, legislative actions, or external influence operations that could alter internal dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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