Ukraine's presidential election remains prohibited under ongoing martial law, extended by the Verkhovna Rada until August 2, 2026, via a late April parliamentary vote that also renewed mobilization. Constitutional bans on wartime voting keep President Zelenskyy in office past his May 2024 term end, with the Central Election Commission ruling out any 2026 ballot until six months post-ceasefire for logistical and security preparations. This stance defies U.S. pressure, including President Trump's calls for polls under wartime rules, amid stalled peace talks. Traders monitor frontline de-escalation, diplomatic breakthroughs, or the late-July martial law review for signals of an official election call by Zelenskyy, parliament, or other actors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNo official announcement on Ukrainian presidential election date amid ongoing war and peace talks
June 30, 2026 dips to 4%2%
Despite ongoing diplomatic efforts and military developments, no official date for the next Ukrainian presidential election was announced by the government, leading to a further decline in market confidence that the election would be scheduled in 2025.
U.S. and Russia agree to reestablish high-level military dialogue amid Ukraine war talks
June 30, 2026 dips to 11%1%
The U.S. and Russia agreed to restore military communication channels to facilitate peace talks, signaling ongoing diplomatic efforts but no immediate resolution or election scheduling in Ukraine, keeping market expectations low for a 2025 election date announcement.

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