U.S. policy has long restricted American military involvement in Gaza to advisory, logistical, and coordination roles based in Israel, with officials repeatedly ruling out ground deployments into the enclave. Plans for an International Stabilization Force under the Trump administration have emphasized contributions from other nations such as Indonesia while keeping U.S. personnel outside Gaza itself. Recent developments, including Israel’s August 2026 rejection of key elements in the U.S.-backed peace plan over Hamas disarmament timelines and the earlier closure of a U.S.-led coordination center, have further stalled progress toward any on-the-ground U.S. presence. These factors, combined with the market’s December 2026 resolution cutoff, underpin the strong trader consensus against U.S. forces entering Gaza before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСилы США в Газе до 2027 года?
Силы США в Газе до 2027 года?
Да
10% вероятность
$185,868 Объем
$185,868 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Да
10% вероятность
$185,868 Объем
$185,868 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. policy has long restricted American military involvement in Gaza to advisory, logistical, and coordination roles based in Israel, with officials repeatedly ruling out ground deployments into the enclave. Plans for an International Stabilization Force under the Trump administration have emphasized contributions from other nations such as Indonesia while keeping U.S. personnel outside Gaza itself. Recent developments, including Israel’s August 2026 rejection of key elements in the U.S.-backed peace plan over Hamas disarmament timelines and the earlier closure of a U.S.-led coordination center, have further stalled progress toward any on-the-ground U.S. presence. These factors, combined with the market’s December 2026 resolution cutoff, underpin the strong trader consensus against U.S. forces entering Gaza before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
Объем
$185,868Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. policy has long restricted American military involvement in Gaza to advisory, logistical, and coordination roles based in Israel, with officials repeatedly ruling out ground deployments into the enclave. Plans for an International Stabilization Force under the Trump administration have emphasized contributions from other nations such as Indonesia while keeping U.S. personnel outside Gaza itself. Recent developments, including Israel’s August 2026 rejection of key elements in the U.S.-backed peace plan over Hamas disarmament timelines and the earlier closure of a U.S.-led coordination center, have further stalled progress toward any on-the-ground U.S. presence. These factors, combined with the market’s December 2026 resolution cutoff, underpin the strong trader consensus against U.S. forces entering Gaza before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$185,868Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. policy has long restricted American military involvement in Gaza to advisory, logistical, and coordination roles based in Israel, with officials repeatedly ruling out ground deployments into the enclave. Plans for an International Stabilization Force under the Trump administration have emphasized contributions from other nations such as Indonesia while keeping U.S. personnel outside Gaza itself. Recent developments, including Israel’s August 2026 rejection of key elements in the U.S.-backed peace plan over Hamas disarmament timelines and the earlier closure of a U.S.-led coordination center, have further stalled progress toward any on-the-ground U.S. presence. These factors, combined with the market’s December 2026 resolution cutoff, underpin the strong trader consensus against U.S. forces entering Gaza before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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