U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not conduct operations inside Gaza, instead limiting involvement to advisory, logistical, and planning roles from bases in Israel or regional commands. The Trump administration’s Board of Peace has advanced a UN-authorized International Stabilization Force through 2027, with contracts awarded for multinational outposts and a U.S. general designated for oversight, yet the force is expected to draw primarily from other nations rather than American combat units. Recent diplomatic efforts have emphasized reconstruction, ceasefire maintenance, and eventual transfer to Palestinian authorities without direct U.S. ground presence. These positions align with longstanding Pentagon guidance against entanglement in Gaza operations and have kept trader-implied odds for U.S. forces entering the territory before 2027 at just 9 percent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСилы США в Газе до 2027 года?
Силы США в Газе до 2027 года?
Да
9% вероятность
$183,977 Объем
$183,977 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
9% вероятность
$183,977 Объем
$183,977 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not conduct operations inside Gaza, instead limiting involvement to advisory, logistical, and planning roles from bases in Israel or regional commands. The Trump administration’s Board of Peace has advanced a UN-authorized International Stabilization Force through 2027, with contracts awarded for multinational outposts and a U.S. general designated for oversight, yet the force is expected to draw primarily from other nations rather than American combat units. Recent diplomatic efforts have emphasized reconstruction, ceasefire maintenance, and eventual transfer to Palestinian authorities without direct U.S. ground presence. These positions align with longstanding Pentagon guidance against entanglement in Gaza operations and have kept trader-implied odds for U.S. forces entering the territory before 2027 at just 9 percent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
Объем
$183,977Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not conduct operations inside Gaza, instead limiting involvement to advisory, logistical, and planning roles from bases in Israel or regional commands. The Trump administration’s Board of Peace has advanced a UN-authorized International Stabilization Force through 2027, with contracts awarded for multinational outposts and a U.S. general designated for oversight, yet the force is expected to draw primarily from other nations rather than American combat units. Recent diplomatic efforts have emphasized reconstruction, ceasefire maintenance, and eventual transfer to Palestinian authorities without direct U.S. ground presence. These positions align with longstanding Pentagon guidance against entanglement in Gaza operations and have kept trader-implied odds for U.S. forces entering the territory before 2027 at just 9 percent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$183,977Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not conduct operations inside Gaza, instead limiting involvement to advisory, logistical, and planning roles from bases in Israel or regional commands. The Trump administration’s Board of Peace has advanced a UN-authorized International Stabilization Force through 2027, with contracts awarded for multinational outposts and a U.S. general designated for oversight, yet the force is expected to draw primarily from other nations rather than American combat units. Recent diplomatic efforts have emphasized reconstruction, ceasefire maintenance, and eventual transfer to Palestinian authorities without direct U.S. ground presence. These positions align with longstanding Pentagon guidance against entanglement in Gaza operations and have kept trader-implied odds for U.S. forces entering the territory before 2027 at just 9 percent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы