**US-Cuba economic deal prospects remain limited by the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure sanctions regime.** Executive orders in January and May 2026 authorized tariffs on third-country oil suppliers and secondary sanctions targeting GAESA, CUPET, mining, finance, and energy sectors, intensifying shortages and blackouts. Earlier secret talks offering U.S. oil and investment in exchange for reforms, prisoner releases, and property compensation collapsed amid Miami political resistance and Cuban insistence on sovereignty. Cuba responded with June 2026 reforms expanding private enterprise, foreign investment, and market mechanisms, yet Cuban officials report no active negotiations or agenda as of September, despite open channels. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, with any resolution hinging on verifiable mutual concessions before year-end deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭкономическая сделка между США и Кубой от...?
Экономическая сделка между США и Кубой от...?
$434,985 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
December 31
12%
$434,985 Объем
December 31
$23,113 Объем
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.**US-Cuba economic deal prospects remain limited by the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure sanctions regime.** Executive orders in January and May 2026 authorized tariffs on third-country oil suppliers and secondary sanctions targeting GAESA, CUPET, mining, finance, and energy sectors, intensifying shortages and blackouts. Earlier secret talks offering U.S. oil and investment in exchange for reforms, prisoner releases, and property compensation collapsed amid Miami political resistance and Cuban insistence on sovereignty. Cuba responded with June 2026 reforms expanding private enterprise, foreign investment, and market mechanisms, yet Cuban officials report no active negotiations or agenda as of September, despite open channels. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, with any resolution hinging on verifiable mutual concessions before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Объем
$434,985Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.**US-Cuba economic deal prospects remain limited by the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure sanctions regime.** Executive orders in January and May 2026 authorized tariffs on third-country oil suppliers and secondary sanctions targeting GAESA, CUPET, mining, finance, and energy sectors, intensifying shortages and blackouts. Earlier secret talks offering U.S. oil and investment in exchange for reforms, prisoner releases, and property compensation collapsed amid Miami political resistance and Cuban insistence on sovereignty. Cuba responded with June 2026 reforms expanding private enterprise, foreign investment, and market mechanisms, yet Cuban officials report no active negotiations or agenda as of September, despite open channels. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, with any resolution hinging on verifiable mutual concessions before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Объем
$434,985Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**US-Cuba economic deal prospects remain limited by the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure sanctions regime.** Executive orders in January and May 2026 authorized tariffs on third-country oil suppliers and secondary sanctions targeting GAESA, CUPET, mining, finance, and energy sectors, intensifying shortages and blackouts. Earlier secret talks offering U.S. oil and investment in exchange for reforms, prisoner releases, and property compensation collapsed amid Miami political resistance and Cuban insistence on sovereignty. Cuba responded with June 2026 reforms expanding private enterprise, foreign investment, and market mechanisms, yet Cuban officials report no active negotiations or agenda as of September, despite open channels. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, with any resolution hinging on verifiable mutual concessions before year-end deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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