**USD/JPY trader sentiment for the end-2026 close centers on narrowing but still-elevated US-Japan interest rate differentials and the pace of Bank of Japan policy normalization.** With the spot rate near 156 in mid-September 2026, the 38.5% probability on a 150-160 close reflects expectations that recent yen strength—driven by BoJ rate-hike pricing to 1.25% at the September 18 meeting and signals of further tightening—will limit upside while US economic resilience and potential Fed firmness cap downside. Markets also price in ongoing intervention risks and Japanese fiscal pressures that have supported the yen’s early-September rally despite rising US yields. Key near-term catalysts include the FOMC and BoJ decisions plus upcoming US CPI and payrolls data, which will shape the relative policy path through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено150-160 39%
140-150 29.0%
<140 27%
160-170 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 дек. 2026 г.
<140
18%
140-150
20%
150-160
39%
160-170
13%
170-180
8%
180+
4%
150-160 39%
140-150 29.0%
<140 27%
160-170 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 дек. 2026 г.
<140
$505 Объем
18%
140-150
$189 Объем
20%
150-160
$2,072 Объем
39%
160-170
$401 Объем
13%
170-180
$136 Объем
8%
180+
$223 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**USD/JPY trader sentiment for the end-2026 close centers on narrowing but still-elevated US-Japan interest rate differentials and the pace of Bank of Japan policy normalization.** With the spot rate near 156 in mid-September 2026, the 38.5% probability on a 150-160 close reflects expectations that recent yen strength—driven by BoJ rate-hike pricing to 1.25% at the September 18 meeting and signals of further tightening—will limit upside while US economic resilience and potential Fed firmness cap downside. Markets also price in ongoing intervention risks and Japanese fiscal pressures that have supported the yen’s early-September rally despite rising US yields. Key near-term catalysts include the FOMC and BoJ decisions plus upcoming US CPI and payrolls data, which will shape the relative policy path through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Объем
$3,526Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**USD/JPY trader sentiment for the end-2026 close centers on narrowing but still-elevated US-Japan interest rate differentials and the pace of Bank of Japan policy normalization.** With the spot rate near 156 in mid-September 2026, the 38.5% probability on a 150-160 close reflects expectations that recent yen strength—driven by BoJ rate-hike pricing to 1.25% at the September 18 meeting and signals of further tightening—will limit upside while US economic resilience and potential Fed firmness cap downside. Markets also price in ongoing intervention risks and Japanese fiscal pressures that have supported the yen’s early-September rally despite rising US yields. Key near-term catalysts include the FOMC and BoJ decisions plus upcoming US CPI and payrolls data, which will shape the relative policy path through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$3,526Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**USD/JPY trader sentiment for the end-2026 close centers on narrowing but still-elevated US-Japan interest rate differentials and the pace of Bank of Japan policy normalization.** With the spot rate near 156 in mid-September 2026, the 38.5% probability on a 150-160 close reflects expectations that recent yen strength—driven by BoJ rate-hike pricing to 1.25% at the September 18 meeting and signals of further tightening—will limit upside while US economic resilience and potential Fed firmness cap downside. Markets also price in ongoing intervention risks and Japanese fiscal pressures that have supported the yen’s early-September rally despite rising US yields. Key near-term catalysts include the FOMC and BoJ decisions plus upcoming US CPI and payrolls data, which will shape the relative policy path through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы