Utah’s 3rd congressional district remains closely contested in trader pricing ahead of the November general election, with the Republican nominee favored by a slim margin over Democrat Kent Udell. The June 23 Republican primary between incumbent Celeste Maloy and challenger Phil Lyman has created short-term uncertainty over candidate strength and messaging in a sprawling district redrawn under court-ordered maps. Lyman’s appeal in rural southern counties and Maloy’s incumbency record could shape general-election turnout and swing-voter support. With both parties’ nominees now set, late primary results, fundraising differentials, and any shifts in national midterm sentiment represent the main variables that could widen or narrow the gap before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUT-03 House Election Winner
UT-03 House Election Winner
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Republican Party
$708 Объем
94%
Democratic Party
$181 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 3rd congressional district remains closely contested in trader pricing ahead of the November general election, with the Republican nominee favored by a slim margin over Democrat Kent Udell. The June 23 Republican primary between incumbent Celeste Maloy and challenger Phil Lyman has created short-term uncertainty over candidate strength and messaging in a sprawling district redrawn under court-ordered maps. Lyman’s appeal in rural southern counties and Maloy’s incumbency record could shape general-election turnout and swing-voter support. With both parties’ nominees now set, late primary results, fundraising differentials, and any shifts in national midterm sentiment represent the main variables that could widen or narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Объем
$889Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 3rd congressional district remains closely contested in trader pricing ahead of the November general election, with the Republican nominee favored by a slim margin over Democrat Kent Udell. The June 23 Republican primary between incumbent Celeste Maloy and challenger Phil Lyman has created short-term uncertainty over candidate strength and messaging in a sprawling district redrawn under court-ordered maps. Lyman’s appeal in rural southern counties and Maloy’s incumbency record could shape general-election turnout and swing-voter support. With both parties’ nominees now set, late primary results, fundraising differentials, and any shifts in national midterm sentiment represent the main variables that could widen or narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$889Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah’s 3rd congressional district remains closely contested in trader pricing ahead of the November general election, with the Republican nominee favored by a slim margin over Democrat Kent Udell. The June 23 Republican primary between incumbent Celeste Maloy and challenger Phil Lyman has created short-term uncertainty over candidate strength and messaging in a sprawling district redrawn under court-ordered maps. Lyman’s appeal in rural southern counties and Maloy’s incumbency record could shape general-election turnout and swing-voter support. With both parties’ nominees now set, late primary results, fundraising differentials, and any shifts in national midterm sentiment represent the main variables that could widen or narrow the gap before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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