The rematch between former Representative Elaine Luria and incumbent Representative Jen Kiggans in Virginia’s competitive 2nd District, a military-heavy swing seat that has flipped between parties in recent cycles, drives trader consensus favoring the Democrat. Luria’s strong August primary performance, superior fundraising, joint Democratic efforts, and recent ad campaign highlighting Kiggans’s alignment with President Trump on issues like gas prices, tariffs, veterans’ health care via the PACT Act, and Iran-related costs have bolstered her position ahead of early voting that began September 18. Kiggans has countered with attacks on Luria’s fundraising ties, but broader midterm dynamics and endorsements from Virginia Democratic leaders appear to underpin the market’s assessment of Luria’s advantage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-02
$43,333 Объем
$43,333 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Элейн Лурия (Д)
82%
Джен Кигганс (Р)
19%
$43,333 Объем
$43,333 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Элейн Лурия (Д)
$18,720 Объем
82%
Джен Кигганс (Р)
$24,613 Объем
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The rematch between former Representative Elaine Luria and incumbent Representative Jen Kiggans in Virginia’s competitive 2nd District, a military-heavy swing seat that has flipped between parties in recent cycles, drives trader consensus favoring the Democrat. Luria’s strong August primary performance, superior fundraising, joint Democratic efforts, and recent ad campaign highlighting Kiggans’s alignment with President Trump on issues like gas prices, tariffs, veterans’ health care via the PACT Act, and Iran-related costs have bolstered her position ahead of early voting that began September 18. Kiggans has countered with attacks on Luria’s fundraising ties, but broader midterm dynamics and endorsements from Virginia Democratic leaders appear to underpin the market’s assessment of Luria’s advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Объем
$43,333Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The rematch between former Representative Elaine Luria and incumbent Representative Jen Kiggans in Virginia’s competitive 2nd District, a military-heavy swing seat that has flipped between parties in recent cycles, drives trader consensus favoring the Democrat. Luria’s strong August primary performance, superior fundraising, joint Democratic efforts, and recent ad campaign highlighting Kiggans’s alignment with President Trump on issues like gas prices, tariffs, veterans’ health care via the PACT Act, and Iran-related costs have bolstered her position ahead of early voting that began September 18. Kiggans has countered with attacks on Luria’s fundraising ties, but broader midterm dynamics and endorsements from Virginia Democratic leaders appear to underpin the market’s assessment of Luria’s advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$43,333Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...The rematch between former Representative Elaine Luria and incumbent Representative Jen Kiggans in Virginia’s competitive 2nd District, a military-heavy swing seat that has flipped between parties in recent cycles, drives trader consensus favoring the Democrat. Luria’s strong August primary performance, superior fundraising, joint Democratic efforts, and recent ad campaign highlighting Kiggans’s alignment with President Trump on issues like gas prices, tariffs, veterans’ health care via the PACT Act, and Iran-related costs have bolstered her position ahead of early voting that began September 18. Kiggans has countered with attacks on Luria’s fundraising ties, but broader midterm dynamics and endorsements from Virginia Democratic leaders appear to underpin the market’s assessment of Luria’s advantage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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