Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly stated that he and his wife will evaluate a 2028 presidential bid only after the November 2026 midterms, while avoiding any public commitment to forgo a campaign. Recent developments reinforce this timeline, including Vance’s prominent September 2026 speech at a Republican convention in Dallas, where he received “48” chants from supporters and delivered messaging that strengthened his profile as a leading GOP contender. Polling among Republicans shows him ahead of potential rivals such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Vance has used book promotions, donor outreach, and administration travel to build visibility without early-state organizing. These factors align with trader consensus that an announcement ruling out a run remains improbable before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
6% вероятность
$18,813 Объем
$18,813 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
6% вероятность
$18,813 Объем
$18,813 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly stated that he and his wife will evaluate a 2028 presidential bid only after the November 2026 midterms, while avoiding any public commitment to forgo a campaign. Recent developments reinforce this timeline, including Vance’s prominent September 2026 speech at a Republican convention in Dallas, where he received “48” chants from supporters and delivered messaging that strengthened his profile as a leading GOP contender. Polling among Republicans shows him ahead of potential rivals such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Vance has used book promotions, donor outreach, and administration travel to build visibility without early-state organizing. These factors align with trader consensus that an announcement ruling out a run remains improbable before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
Объем
$18,813Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly stated that he and his wife will evaluate a 2028 presidential bid only after the November 2026 midterms, while avoiding any public commitment to forgo a campaign. Recent developments reinforce this timeline, including Vance’s prominent September 2026 speech at a Republican convention in Dallas, where he received “48” chants from supporters and delivered messaging that strengthened his profile as a leading GOP contender. Polling among Republicans shows him ahead of potential rivals such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Vance has used book promotions, donor outreach, and administration travel to build visibility without early-state organizing. These factors align with trader consensus that an announcement ruling out a run remains improbable before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$18,813Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly stated that he and his wife will evaluate a 2028 presidential bid only after the November 2026 midterms, while avoiding any public commitment to forgo a campaign. Recent developments reinforce this timeline, including Vance’s prominent September 2026 speech at a Republican convention in Dallas, where he received “48” chants from supporters and delivered messaging that strengthened his profile as a leading GOP contender. Polling among Republicans shows him ahead of potential rivals such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Vance has used book promotions, donor outreach, and administration travel to build visibility without early-state organizing. These factors align with trader consensus that an announcement ruling out a run remains improbable before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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