Nicolás Maduro's capture by U.S. forces in January 2026 on narco-terrorism charges has not triggered formal removal from office, leaving him the nominal head of state under Venezuela's constitutional framework and positioning him as the clear market leader. Delcy Rodríguez serves as acting president, overseeing limited liberalization steps including prisoner releases, an amnesty law, and oil-sector cooperation with Washington, yet the core institutions of the prior government remain in place. Ongoing U.S.-backed transition talks between Chavismo representatives and opposition figures have produced incremental concessions without scheduled elections or a verified succession mechanism by year-end. These dynamics, combined with the absence of a decisive break in legal continuity, underpin trader consensus around Maduro's retention of the title through December 31, 2026, while Rodríguez holds secondary positioning and exiled opposition leaders face structural barriers to rapid elevation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛидер Венесуэлы в конце 2026 года?
Лидер Венесуэлы в конце 2026 года?
Николас Мадуро 83.9%
Дельси Родригес 10%
Нет главы государства 1.3%
Мария Корина Мачадо 1.1%
$96,111,569 Объем
$96,111,569 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Николас Мадуро
84%
Дельси Родригес
10%
Нет главы государства
1%
Мария Корина Мачадо
1%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
<1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
<1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
<1%
Хорхе Родригес
<1%
Динора Фигера
<1%
Дональд Трамп
<1%
Марко Рубио
<1%
Пит Хегсет
<1%
Эван Пэттус
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
<1%
Дэн Кейн
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
<1%
Николас Мадуро 83.9%
Дельси Родригес 10%
Нет главы государства 1.3%
Мария Корина Мачадо 1.1%
$96,111,569 Объем
$96,111,569 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Николас Мадуро
$2,866,888 Объем
84%
Дельси Родригес
$1,792,658 Объем
10%
Нет главы государства
$1,516,892 Объем
1%
Мария Корина Мачадо
$1,462,555 Объем
1%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
$1,231,039 Объем
<1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
$2,091,587 Объем
<1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
$821,189 Объем
<1%
Хорхе Родригес
$1,167,951 Объем
<1%
Динора Фигера
$2,991,718 Объем
<1%
Дональд Трамп
$1,140,370 Объем
<1%
Марко Рубио
$1,418,506 Объем
<1%
Пит Хегсет
$9,205,285 Объем
<1%
Эван Пэттус
$5,652,117 Объем
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
$25,817,227 Объем
<1%
Дэн Кейн
$4,144,863 Объем
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
$32,790,723 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro's capture by U.S. forces in January 2026 on narco-terrorism charges has not triggered formal removal from office, leaving him the nominal head of state under Venezuela's constitutional framework and positioning him as the clear market leader. Delcy Rodríguez serves as acting president, overseeing limited liberalization steps including prisoner releases, an amnesty law, and oil-sector cooperation with Washington, yet the core institutions of the prior government remain in place. Ongoing U.S.-backed transition talks between Chavismo representatives and opposition figures have produced incremental concessions without scheduled elections or a verified succession mechanism by year-end. These dynamics, combined with the absence of a decisive break in legal continuity, underpin trader consensus around Maduro's retention of the title through December 31, 2026, while Rodríguez holds secondary positioning and exiled opposition leaders face structural barriers to rapid elevation.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Объем
$96,111,569Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro's capture by U.S. forces in January 2026 on narco-terrorism charges has not triggered formal removal from office, leaving him the nominal head of state under Venezuela's constitutional framework and positioning him as the clear market leader. Delcy Rodríguez serves as acting president, overseeing limited liberalization steps including prisoner releases, an amnesty law, and oil-sector cooperation with Washington, yet the core institutions of the prior government remain in place. Ongoing U.S.-backed transition talks between Chavismo representatives and opposition figures have produced incremental concessions without scheduled elections or a verified succession mechanism by year-end. These dynamics, combined with the absence of a decisive break in legal continuity, underpin trader consensus around Maduro's retention of the title through December 31, 2026, while Rodríguez holds secondary positioning and exiled opposition leaders face structural barriers to rapid elevation.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Объем
$96,111,569Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Nicolás Maduro's capture by U.S. forces in January 2026 on narco-terrorism charges has not triggered formal removal from office, leaving him the nominal head of state under Venezuela's constitutional framework and positioning him as the clear market leader. Delcy Rodríguez serves as acting president, overseeing limited liberalization steps including prisoner releases, an amnesty law, and oil-sector cooperation with Washington, yet the core institutions of the prior government remain in place. Ongoing U.S.-backed transition talks between Chavismo representatives and opposition figures have produced incremental concessions without scheduled elections or a verified succession mechanism by year-end. These dynamics, combined with the absence of a decisive break in legal continuity, underpin trader consensus around Maduro's retention of the title through December 31, 2026, while Rodríguez holds secondary positioning and exiled opposition leaders face structural barriers to rapid elevation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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