Ursula von der Leyen secured re-election by the European Parliament in July 2024 with 401 votes, beginning her second five-year term as European Commission President in December 2024, which extends through the next parliamentary elections in 2029. As of mid-2026, she continues to lead on defense, competitiveness, sanctions, and external relations amid active engagement in summits and legislative work, with no successful no-confidence motions or institutional challenges emerging. Trader consensus at 96% for "No" reflects this fixed mandate structure, broad EPP-backed support, and absence of acute political pressure for early removal. Late developments such as a major health event, ethics scandal prompting resignation, or unexpected parliamentary realignment could still alter outcomes within the calendar year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФон дер Ляйен покинет пост президента Европейской комиссии в 2026 году?
Фон дер Ляйен покинет пост президента Европейской комиссии в 2026 году?
Да
$40,958 Объем
$40,958 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$40,958 Объем
$40,958 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ursula von der Leyen secured re-election by the European Parliament in July 2024 with 401 votes, beginning her second five-year term as European Commission President in December 2024, which extends through the next parliamentary elections in 2029. As of mid-2026, she continues to lead on defense, competitiveness, sanctions, and external relations amid active engagement in summits and legislative work, with no successful no-confidence motions or institutional challenges emerging. Trader consensus at 96% for "No" reflects this fixed mandate structure, broad EPP-backed support, and absence of acute political pressure for early removal. Late developments such as a major health event, ethics scandal prompting resignation, or unexpected parliamentary realignment could still alter outcomes within the calendar year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 16, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Объем
$40,958Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 16, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ursula von der Leyen secured re-election by the European Parliament in July 2024 with 401 votes, beginning her second five-year term as European Commission President in December 2024, which extends through the next parliamentary elections in 2029. As of mid-2026, she continues to lead on defense, competitiveness, sanctions, and external relations amid active engagement in summits and legislative work, with no successful no-confidence motions or institutional challenges emerging. Trader consensus at 96% for "No" reflects this fixed mandate structure, broad EPP-backed support, and absence of acute political pressure for early removal. Late developments such as a major health event, ethics scandal prompting resignation, or unexpected parliamentary realignment could still alter outcomes within the calendar year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$40,958Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 16, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ursula von der Leyen secured re-election by the European Parliament in July 2024 with 401 votes, beginning her second five-year term as European Commission President in December 2024, which extends through the next parliamentary elections in 2029. As of mid-2026, she continues to lead on defense, competitiveness, sanctions, and external relations amid active engagement in summits and legislative work, with no successful no-confidence motions or institutional challenges emerging. Trader consensus at 96% for "No" reflects this fixed mandate structure, broad EPP-backed support, and absence of acute political pressure for early removal. Late developments such as a major health event, ethics scandal prompting resignation, or unexpected parliamentary realignment could still alter outcomes within the calendar year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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