Incumbent Pramila Jayapal advanced easily through Washington’s August top-two primary against Republican Nirav Sheth and minor challengers in the heavily Democratic Seattle-based WA-07 district. The seat’s longstanding D+39 partisan lean, consistent 80-plus percent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and Jayapal’s substantial fundraising edge have shaped trader views on the November general-election margin. With no major polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national developments altering the fundamentals since the primary, market pricing reflects broad consensus around a large Democratic victory while spreading probability across adjacent margin buckets. Late-cycle turnout patterns or unexpected national swings remain the main variables that could narrow or widen the final result before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWA-07 Предел победы на выборах в Палату представителей
WA-07 Предел победы на выборах в Палату представителей
Демократ 50-60% 42.8%
Демократ 85-90% 42.5%
Демократ 80-85% 42.3%
Демократ 60-65% 42.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ 90%+
42%
Демократ 85-90%
43%
Демократ 80-85%
42%
Демократ 75–80%
27%
Демократ 70-75%
42%
Демократ 65-70%
42%
Демократ 60-65%
42%
Демократ 50-60%
43%
Демократ 0-50%
42%
Победа республиканца
28%
Демократ 50-60% 42.8%
Демократ 85-90% 42.5%
Демократ 80-85% 42.3%
Демократ 60-65% 42.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ 90%+
$160 Объем
42%
Демократ 85-90%
$200 Объем
43%
Демократ 80-85%
$200 Объем
42%
Демократ 75–80%
$200 Объем
27%
Демократ 70-75%
$200 Объем
42%
Демократ 65-70%
$40 Объем
42%
Демократ 60-65%
$80 Объем
42%
Демократ 50-60%
$40 Объем
43%
Демократ 0-50%
$80 Объем
42%
Победа республиканца
$43 Объем
28%
The 2026 WA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Pramila Jayapal advanced easily through Washington’s August top-two primary against Republican Nirav Sheth and minor challengers in the heavily Democratic Seattle-based WA-07 district. The seat’s longstanding D+39 partisan lean, consistent 80-plus percent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and Jayapal’s substantial fundraising edge have shaped trader views on the November general-election margin. With no major polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national developments altering the fundamentals since the primary, market pricing reflects broad consensus around a large Democratic victory while spreading probability across adjacent margin buckets. Late-cycle turnout patterns or unexpected national swings remain the main variables that could narrow or widen the final result before November 3.
The 2026 WA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Объем
$1,243Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 4:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 WA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Pramila Jayapal advanced easily through Washington’s August top-two primary against Republican Nirav Sheth and minor challengers in the heavily Democratic Seattle-based WA-07 district. The seat’s longstanding D+39 partisan lean, consistent 80-plus percent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and Jayapal’s substantial fundraising edge have shaped trader views on the November general-election margin. With no major polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national developments altering the fundamentals since the primary, market pricing reflects broad consensus around a large Democratic victory while spreading probability across adjacent margin buckets. Late-cycle turnout patterns or unexpected national swings remain the main variables that could narrow or widen the final result before November 3.
The 2026 WA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,243Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 4:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Pramila Jayapal advanced easily through Washington’s August top-two primary against Republican Nirav Sheth and minor challengers in the heavily Democratic Seattle-based WA-07 district. The seat’s longstanding D+39 partisan lean, consistent 80-plus percent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and Jayapal’s substantial fundraising edge have shaped trader views on the November general-election margin. With no major polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national developments altering the fundamentals since the primary, market pricing reflects broad consensus around a large Democratic victory while spreading probability across adjacent margin buckets. Late-cycle turnout patterns or unexpected national swings remain the main variables that could narrow or widen the final result before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Победит ли кандидат от Демократической партии на выборах в Палату представителей по округу WA-06 в 2026 году с разницей в 25-30%?
43%
Да
Победит ли кандидат Демократической партии на выборах в Палату представителей США по округу WA-08 в 2026 году с перевесом 10%-15%?
42%
Да
Победит ли кандидат Демократической партии на выборах в Палату представителей по округу WA-01 в 2026 году с преимуществом в 25%-30%?
39%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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