The closely contested trader consensus on Washington’s Initiative IL26-638 reflects divided public opinion ahead of the November 3, 2026, ballot. Supporters, led by Let’s Go Washington, emphasize preserving fair competition in girls’ school sports by barring biologically male students and requiring healthcare-provider verification of sex via reproductive anatomy, genetics, or testosterone levels for all participants. A June 2026 Supreme Court ruling upholding similar restrictions in other states provided momentum. Opponents, including No Hate in Washington State and unions, highlight privacy concerns, potential forced outing, and the measure’s broad application to every girl seeking to compete, framing it as more intrusive than policies elsewhere. Active campaigns, internal polling showing majority support with favorable wording, and the Seattle Times endorsement against the measure sustain the narrow edge toward rejection.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВашингтон принимает избирательные бюллетени, ограничивающие доступ трансгендерных школьников к спорту?
Вашингтон принимает избирательные бюллетени, ограничивающие доступ трансгендерных школьников к спорту?
Да
48% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мар. 2027 г.
Да
48% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мар. 2027 г.
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). The closely contested trader consensus on Washington’s Initiative IL26-638 reflects divided public opinion ahead of the November 3, 2026, ballot. Supporters, led by Let’s Go Washington, emphasize preserving fair competition in girls’ school sports by barring biologically male students and requiring healthcare-provider verification of sex via reproductive anatomy, genetics, or testosterone levels for all participants. A June 2026 Supreme Court ruling upholding similar restrictions in other states provided momentum. Opponents, including No Hate in Washington State and unions, highlight privacy concerns, potential forced outing, and the measure’s broad application to every girl seeking to compete, framing it as more intrusive than policies elsewhere. Active campaigns, internal polling showing majority support with favorable wording, and the Seattle Times endorsement against the measure sustain the narrow edge toward rejection.
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Объем
$623Дата окончания
1 апр. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). The closely contested trader consensus on Washington’s Initiative IL26-638 reflects divided public opinion ahead of the November 3, 2026, ballot. Supporters, led by Let’s Go Washington, emphasize preserving fair competition in girls’ school sports by barring biologically male students and requiring healthcare-provider verification of sex via reproductive anatomy, genetics, or testosterone levels for all participants. A June 2026 Supreme Court ruling upholding similar restrictions in other states provided momentum. Opponents, including No Hate in Washington State and unions, highlight privacy concerns, potential forced outing, and the measure’s broad application to every girl seeking to compete, framing it as more intrusive than policies elsewhere. Active campaigns, internal polling showing majority support with favorable wording, and the Seattle Times endorsement against the measure sustain the narrow edge toward rejection.
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Объем
$623Дата окончания
1 апр. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The closely contested trader consensus on Washington’s Initiative IL26-638 reflects divided public opinion ahead of the November 3, 2026, ballot. Supporters, led by Let’s Go Washington, emphasize preserving fair competition in girls’ school sports by barring biologically male students and requiring healthcare-provider verification of sex via reproductive anatomy, genetics, or testosterone levels for all participants. A June 2026 Supreme Court ruling upholding similar restrictions in other states provided momentum. Opponents, including No Hate in Washington State and unions, highlight privacy concerns, potential forced outing, and the measure’s broad application to every girl seeking to compete, framing it as more intrusive than policies elsewhere. Active campaigns, internal polling showing majority support with favorable wording, and the Seattle Times endorsement against the measure sustain the narrow edge toward rejection.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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