Recent sales data and persistent supply constraints in New York City have anchored trader expectations for median home values near current levels into late September. Low inventory, reinforced by the mortgage rate lock-in effect amid 30-year fixed rates holding around 6%, continues to limit transaction volume and support price stability despite modest year-over-year gains of 3-6% reported across boroughs. Elevated insurance costs and selective buyer caution have tempered momentum in Manhattan while outer boroughs show broader resilience, keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the $636K-$663K range. Seasonal patterns through summer and any near-term shifts in mortgage rates or new listings represent the main variables that could influence the September 30 reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$636K - $663K 62.1%
$609K - $636K 25.6%
$663K - $689K 6.9%
582 тыс. — 609 тыс. долларов 5.2%
$31,495 Объем
$31,495 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
<$555K
<1%
$555K - $582K
1%
582 тыс. — 609 тыс. долларов
5%
$609K - $636K
26%
$636K - $663K
62%
$663K - $689K
9%
от $689 тыс.
2%
$636K - $663K 62.1%
$609K - $636K 25.6%
$663K - $689K 6.9%
582 тыс. — 609 тыс. долларов 5.2%
$31,495 Объем
$31,495 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
<$555K
$628 Объем
<1%
$555K - $582K
$1,880 Объем
1%
582 тыс. — 609 тыс. долларов
$508 Объем
5%
$609K - $636K
$7,118 Объем
26%
$636K - $663K
$19,911 Объем
62%
$663K - $689K
$687 Объем
9%
от $689 тыс.
$762 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent sales data and persistent supply constraints in New York City have anchored trader expectations for median home values near current levels into late September. Low inventory, reinforced by the mortgage rate lock-in effect amid 30-year fixed rates holding around 6%, continues to limit transaction volume and support price stability despite modest year-over-year gains of 3-6% reported across boroughs. Elevated insurance costs and selective buyer caution have tempered momentum in Manhattan while outer boroughs show broader resilience, keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the $636K-$663K range. Seasonal patterns through summer and any near-term shifts in mortgage rates or new listings represent the main variables that could influence the September 30 reading.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Объем
$31,495Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent sales data and persistent supply constraints in New York City have anchored trader expectations for median home values near current levels into late September. Low inventory, reinforced by the mortgage rate lock-in effect amid 30-year fixed rates holding around 6%, continues to limit transaction volume and support price stability despite modest year-over-year gains of 3-6% reported across boroughs. Elevated insurance costs and selective buyer caution have tempered momentum in Manhattan while outer boroughs show broader resilience, keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the $636K-$663K range. Seasonal patterns through summer and any near-term shifts in mortgage rates or new listings represent the main variables that could influence the September 30 reading.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Объем
$31,495Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent sales data and persistent supply constraints in New York City have anchored trader expectations for median home values near current levels into late September. Low inventory, reinforced by the mortgage rate lock-in effect amid 30-year fixed rates holding around 6%, continues to limit transaction volume and support price stability despite modest year-over-year gains of 3-6% reported across boroughs. Elevated insurance costs and selective buyer caution have tempered momentum in Manhattan while outer boroughs show broader resilience, keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the $636K-$663K range. Seasonal patterns through summer and any near-term shifts in mortgage rates or new listings represent the main variables that could influence the September 30 reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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