Recent Austin metro housing data shows median sale prices stabilizing near $435,000 in July 2026, up modestly year-over-year but well below the 2022 peak after a roughly 25% correction. Elevated inventory levels near 5.5 months of supply, extended days on market around 60, and seller price reductions have sustained downward pressure on values amid higher mortgage rates and improved affordability. Trader consensus reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for a median below $446,000 on September 30 aligns with this trajectory of plateauing rather than rebounding prices. Key near-term catalysts include August-September sales reports and any shifts in Fed policy that could influence borrowing costs or buyer sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено< $446К 61%
446 тыс. $ – 454 тыс. $ 29%
454 тыс. — 462 тыс. долларов 9%
470 тыс. – 478 тыс. долларов 1.8%
$56,107 Объем
$56,107 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
< $446К
61%
446 тыс. $ – 454 тыс. $
29%
454 тыс. — 462 тыс. долларов
9%
$462K - $470K
2%
470 тыс. – 478 тыс. долларов
2%
$478K - $486K
1%
$486 тыс.+
1%
< $446К 61%
446 тыс. $ – 454 тыс. $ 29%
454 тыс. — 462 тыс. долларов 9%
470 тыс. – 478 тыс. долларов 1.8%
$56,107 Объем
$56,107 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
< $446К
$11,249 Объем
61%
446 тыс. $ – 454 тыс. $
$13,583 Объем
29%
454 тыс. — 462 тыс. долларов
$5,314 Объем
9%
$462K - $470K
$4,221 Объем
2%
470 тыс. – 478 тыс. долларов
$11,042 Объем
2%
$478K - $486K
$2,894 Объем
1%
$486 тыс.+
$7,804 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)Recent Austin metro housing data shows median sale prices stabilizing near $435,000 in July 2026, up modestly year-over-year but well below the 2022 peak after a roughly 25% correction. Elevated inventory levels near 5.5 months of supply, extended days on market around 60, and seller price reductions have sustained downward pressure on values amid higher mortgage rates and improved affordability. Trader consensus reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for a median below $446,000 on September 30 aligns with this trajectory of plateauing rather than rebounding prices. Key near-term catalysts include August-September sales reports and any shifts in Fed policy that could influence borrowing costs or buyer sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Объем
$56,107Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)Recent Austin metro housing data shows median sale prices stabilizing near $435,000 in July 2026, up modestly year-over-year but well below the 2022 peak after a roughly 25% correction. Elevated inventory levels near 5.5 months of supply, extended days on market around 60, and seller price reductions have sustained downward pressure on values amid higher mortgage rates and improved affordability. Trader consensus reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for a median below $446,000 on September 30 aligns with this trajectory of plateauing rather than rebounding prices. Key near-term catalysts include August-September sales reports and any shifts in Fed policy that could influence borrowing costs or buyer sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
Объем
$56,107Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Austin metro housing data shows median sale prices stabilizing near $435,000 in July 2026, up modestly year-over-year but well below the 2022 peak after a roughly 25% correction. Elevated inventory levels near 5.5 months of supply, extended days on market around 60, and seller price reductions have sustained downward pressure on values amid higher mortgage rates and improved affordability. Trader consensus reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for a median below $446,000 on September 30 aligns with this trajectory of plateauing rather than rebounding prices. Key near-term catalysts include August-September sales reports and any shifts in Fed policy that could influence borrowing costs or buyer sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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