Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-6.75% and persistently tight inventory remain the dominant forces capping near-term appreciation in the San Francisco metro housing market, with Zillow reporting typical home values around $1.416 million as of late July 2026 amid 11.6% year-over-year gains that mask segment-specific softening. Rate-lock effects continue to suppress listings, while AI-driven demand supports select urban cores, yet broader affordability constraints and forecasts for modest 2026 price moderation align with Polymarket's heavy weighting toward outcomes below $1.198 million. Traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices in these macro headwinds ahead of the September 30 resolution, where any further rate stability or inventory shifts could refine the distribution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<1,176 млн долларов 58%
$1.176M - $1.198M 33%
$1.220М - $1.242М 10.5%
$1,198M - $1,220M 6%
$36,725 Объем
$36,725 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
<1,176 млн долларов
58%
$1.176M - $1.198M
33%
$1,198M - $1,220M
6%
$1.220М - $1.242М
8%
$1,242M - $1,264M
6%
$1,264M - $1,284M
<1%
$1.284M+
<1%
<1,176 млн долларов 58%
$1.176M - $1.198M 33%
$1.220М - $1.242М 10.5%
$1,198M - $1,220M 6%
$36,725 Объем
$36,725 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
<1,176 млн долларов
$14,621 Объем
58%
$1.176M - $1.198M
$13,774 Объем
33%
$1,198M - $1,220M
$1,816 Объем
6%
$1.220М - $1.242М
$1,808 Объем
8%
$1,242M - $1,264M
$2,731 Объем
6%
$1,264M - $1,284M
$904 Объем
<1%
$1.284M+
$1,072 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-6.75% and persistently tight inventory remain the dominant forces capping near-term appreciation in the San Francisco metro housing market, with Zillow reporting typical home values around $1.416 million as of late July 2026 amid 11.6% year-over-year gains that mask segment-specific softening. Rate-lock effects continue to suppress listings, while AI-driven demand supports select urban cores, yet broader affordability constraints and forecasts for modest 2026 price moderation align with Polymarket's heavy weighting toward outcomes below $1.198 million. Traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices in these macro headwinds ahead of the September 30 resolution, where any further rate stability or inventory shifts could refine the distribution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Объем
$36,725Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-6.75% and persistently tight inventory remain the dominant forces capping near-term appreciation in the San Francisco metro housing market, with Zillow reporting typical home values around $1.416 million as of late July 2026 amid 11.6% year-over-year gains that mask segment-specific softening. Rate-lock effects continue to suppress listings, while AI-driven demand supports select urban cores, yet broader affordability constraints and forecasts for modest 2026 price moderation align with Polymarket's heavy weighting toward outcomes below $1.198 million. Traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices in these macro headwinds ahead of the September 30 resolution, where any further rate stability or inventory shifts could refine the distribution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Объем
$36,725Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-6.75% and persistently tight inventory remain the dominant forces capping near-term appreciation in the San Francisco metro housing market, with Zillow reporting typical home values around $1.416 million as of late July 2026 amid 11.6% year-over-year gains that mask segment-specific softening. Rate-lock effects continue to suppress listings, while AI-driven demand supports select urban cores, yet broader affordability constraints and forecasts for modest 2026 price moderation align with Polymarket's heavy weighting toward outcomes below $1.198 million. Traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices in these macro headwinds ahead of the September 30 resolution, where any further rate stability or inventory shifts could refine the distribution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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