Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-6.7% continue to weigh on buyer affordability and demand, anchoring trader sentiment toward the <$419K and $419K-$426K buckets for the September 30 U.S. median home value. Recent data show mixed but generally subdued trends, with Redfin reporting a June median sale price of $408,776 and FRED's Q2 2026 median sales price at $410,700, amid flat-to-soft year-over-year growth in several indices. Thin inventory supports a floor while softer sales and price moderation in listings reflect the rate environment's drag. The upcoming September FOMC meeting represents a key catalyst that could influence near-term rate expectations and final pricing dynamics before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<$419K 55.3%
$419 000 - $426 000 31.5%
426 000 – 433 000 долларов 4.5%
433 000 долл. – 440 000 долл. 2.2%
$54,055 Объем
$54,055 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
<$419K
55%
$419 000 - $426 000
32%
426 000 – 433 000 долларов
5%
433 000 долл. – 440 000 долл.
2%
440 000–447 000 долларов
<1%
447 000 $ – 454 000 $
<1%
$454 тыс.+
<1%
<$419K 55.3%
$419 000 - $426 000 31.5%
426 000 – 433 000 долларов 4.5%
433 000 долл. – 440 000 долл. 2.2%
$54,055 Объем
$54,055 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
<$419K
$16,710 Объем
55%
$419 000 - $426 000
$11,032 Объем
32%
426 000 – 433 000 долларов
$5,739 Объем
5%
433 000 долл. – 440 000 долл.
$12,353 Объем
2%
440 000–447 000 долларов
$3,627 Объем
<1%
447 000 $ – 454 000 $
$4,053 Объем
<1%
$454 тыс.+
$542 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-6.7% continue to weigh on buyer affordability and demand, anchoring trader sentiment toward the <$419K and $419K-$426K buckets for the September 30 U.S. median home value. Recent data show mixed but generally subdued trends, with Redfin reporting a June median sale price of $408,776 and FRED's Q2 2026 median sales price at $410,700, amid flat-to-soft year-over-year growth in several indices. Thin inventory supports a floor while softer sales and price moderation in listings reflect the rate environment's drag. The upcoming September FOMC meeting represents a key catalyst that could influence near-term rate expectations and final pricing dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Объем
$54,055Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-6.7% continue to weigh on buyer affordability and demand, anchoring trader sentiment toward the <$419K and $419K-$426K buckets for the September 30 U.S. median home value. Recent data show mixed but generally subdued trends, with Redfin reporting a June median sale price of $408,776 and FRED's Q2 2026 median sales price at $410,700, amid flat-to-soft year-over-year growth in several indices. Thin inventory supports a floor while softer sales and price moderation in listings reflect the rate environment's drag. The upcoming September FOMC meeting represents a key catalyst that could influence near-term rate expectations and final pricing dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Объем
$54,055Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-6.7% continue to weigh on buyer affordability and demand, anchoring trader sentiment toward the <$419K and $419K-$426K buckets for the September 30 U.S. median home value. Recent data show mixed but generally subdued trends, with Redfin reporting a June median sale price of $408,776 and FRED's Q2 2026 median sales price at $410,700, amid flat-to-soft year-over-year growth in several indices. Thin inventory supports a floor while softer sales and price moderation in listings reflect the rate environment's drag. The upcoming September FOMC meeting represents a key catalyst that could influence near-term rate expectations and final pricing dynamics before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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