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Economy·Big Tech

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

icon for Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Economy·Big Tech

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$698,321 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$698,321 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Sam Altman - OpenAI

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$87,627 Объем

13%

icon for Dan Clancy - Twitch

Dan Clancy - Twitch

$43,891 Объем

9%

icon for Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

$82,955 Объем

8%

icon for Sundar Pichai - Google

Sundar Pichai - Google

$38,424 Объем

5%

icon for Andy Jassy - Amazon

Andy Jassy - Amazon

$28,438 Объем

5%

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Elevated CEO turnover across tech, reaching record levels in 2025 and continuing into 2026, reflects intensifying board and investor pressure for faster results amid AI transitions and competitive shifts. Recent announcements include Tim Cook’s planned departure from Apple by September 2026, with John Ternus succeeding him, aligning with market-implied certainty near 100%. Broader dynamics show shorter tenures—averaging under 8 years—and spikes in tech sector exits tied to performance gaps and adaptation challenges. Traders should monitor upcoming earnings calls, regulatory scrutiny on AI, and potential leadership changes at firms like OpenAI, where implied odds for Sam Altman remain low around 13%, as new catalysts could quickly shift consensus before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Объем
$698,321
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Elevated CEO turnover across tech, reaching record levels in 2025 and continuing into 2026, reflects intensifying board and investor pressure for faster results amid AI transitions and competitive shifts. Recent announcements include Tim Cook’s planned departure from Apple by September 2026, with John Ternus succeeding him, aligning with market-implied certainty near 100%. Broader dynamics show shorter tenures—averaging under 8 years—and spikes in tech sector exits tied to performance gaps and adaptation challenges. Traders should monitor upcoming earnings calls, regulatory scrutiny on AI, and potential leadership changes at firms like OpenAI, where implied odds for Sam Altman remain low around 13%, as new catalysts could quickly shift consensus before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Объем
$698,321
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Which CEOs will be out before 2027?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Tim Cook - Apple» с 100%, за ним следует «Sam Altman - OpenAI» с 13%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Which CEOs will be out before 2027?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $698.3K с момента запуска рынка Nov 18, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Which CEOs will be out before 2027?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Which CEOs will be out before 2027?» — «Tim Cook - Apple» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Sam Altman - OpenAI» с 13%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Which CEOs will be out before 2027?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.