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icon for В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?

В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?

icon for В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?

В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?

$82,969 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$82,969 Объем

Polymarket

Anduril

$39,485 Объем

29%

Boeing

$845 Объем

26%

TSMC

$411 Объем

13%

OpenAI

$1,150 Объем

13%

Palantir

$438 Объем

17%

Nvidia

$8,828 Объем

11%

GlobalFoundries

$896 Объем

22%

Lockheed Martin

$646 Объем

21%

TikTok US / Bytedance

$371 Объем

19%

Freeport-McMoRan

$616 Объем

15%

IonQ

$194 Объем

18%

Micron

$1,032 Объем

20%

D-Wave

$499 Объем

13%

Anthropic

$899 Объем

18%

Rigetti

$19,055 Объем

34%

Eli Lilly

$187 Объем

14%

Pfizer

$192 Объем

23%

Samsung Electronics

$7,226 Объем

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's industrial policy since January 2025 has driven direct federal equity acquisitions in strategic sectors, converting prior grants and loans into ownership stakes to secure domestic supply chains in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense manufacturing. Commerce and Defense Department deals have included a roughly 10 percent position in Intel, a 15 percent stake in MP Materials, an 8-16 percent holding in USA Rare Earth, and a golden share in U.S. Steel, with total commitments exceeding $20 billion across more than a dozen transactions. These moves reflect executive priorities on reducing reliance on foreign suppliers, particularly China, through public-private partnerships rather than traditional subsidies alone. Trader focus centers on whether similar arrangements will extend to defense contractors and emerging technology firms before the 2027 resolution window, with upcoming budget and permitting decisions likely to influence additional announcements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.

An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$82,969
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's industrial policy since January 2025 has driven direct federal equity acquisitions in strategic sectors, converting prior grants and loans into ownership stakes to secure domestic supply chains in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense manufacturing. Commerce and Defense Department deals have included a roughly 10 percent position in Intel, a 15 percent stake in MP Materials, an 8-16 percent holding in USA Rare Earth, and a golden share in U.S. Steel, with total commitments exceeding $20 billion across more than a dozen transactions. These moves reflect executive priorities on reducing reliance on foreign suppliers, particularly China, through public-private partnerships rather than traditional subsidies alone. Trader focus centers on whether similar arrangements will extend to defense contractors and emerging technology firms before the 2027 resolution window, with upcoming budget and permitting decisions likely to influence additional announcements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.

An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$82,969
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 18 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Rigetti» с 34%, за ним следует «Anduril» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 34¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 34%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $83K с момента запуска рынка Feb 3, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?», просмотри 18 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?» — «Rigetti» с 34%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 34%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Anduril» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «В каких компаниях будут участвовать США?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.