Europe holds the strongest position in trader consensus due to its unmatched depth of elite national teams, with Spain, France, England, Portugal, and Germany occupying most top spots in current FIFA rankings and power rankings ahead of the expanded 48-team tournament. South America's 19.5% reflects Argentina's status as defending champions and world number one alongside Brazil's pedigree, though both face notable injury absences including Neymar and Rodrygo. Recent squad finalizations and pre-tournament friendlies have reinforced Europe's edge through consistent form and experience, while injuries and limited overall depth have capped probabilities for Africa, North America, Asia, and Oceania despite isolated standouts like Morocco. Historical outcomes, where only UEFA and CONMEBOL nations have ever lifted the trophy, further anchor these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакой континент выиграет чемпионат мира?
Европа 73%
Южная Америка 20%
Африка 3.9%
Северная Америка 3.6%
$3,936,048 Объем
$3,936,048 Объем
Европа
73%
Южная Америка
20%
Африка
4%
Северная Америка
4%
Азия
2%
Океания
<1%
Европа 73%
Южная Америка 20%
Африка 3.9%
Северная Америка 3.6%
$3,936,048 Объем
$3,936,048 Объем
Европа
73%
Южная Америка
20%
Африка
4%
Северная Америка
4%
Азия
2%
Океания
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe holds the strongest position in trader consensus due to its unmatched depth of elite national teams, with Spain, France, England, Portugal, and Germany occupying most top spots in current FIFA rankings and power rankings ahead of the expanded 48-team tournament. South America's 19.5% reflects Argentina's status as defending champions and world number one alongside Brazil's pedigree, though both face notable injury absences including Neymar and Rodrygo. Recent squad finalizations and pre-tournament friendlies have reinforced Europe's edge through consistent form and experience, while injuries and limited overall depth have capped probabilities for Africa, North America, Asia, and Oceania despite isolated standouts like Morocco. Historical outcomes, where only UEFA and CONMEBOL nations have ever lifted the trophy, further anchor these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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