The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective defense obligations and has been explicitly described as open to additional members. Trader focus centers on countries with preexisting close ties, as the short window to December 31 favors rapid diplomatic alignment over new negotiations. Egypt stands out due to repeated public references by Turkish officials as a natural partner and Cairo’s confirmation that it is studying membership under constitutional requirements. Reports indicate Iran received an invitation now under review, while Qatar, Kuwait, and other Gulf states have expressed interest or welcomed the framework. Broader candidates such as Iraq, Jordan, Syria, Azerbaijan, and the UAE face varying levels of regional coordination and security alignment hurdles. Upcoming bilateral talks and any formal accession announcements within the next several months will shape which states complete the process before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакие страны присоединятся к Мекканскому соглашению до 31 декабря?
$37,513 Объем

Египет
22%

Катар
14%

Судан
12%

Сирия
11%

Кувейт
11%

Иран
10%

Йемен
9%

Бахрейн
9%

Сомали
9%

Объединённые Арабские Эмираты
8%

Ирак
8%

Оман
8%

Алжир
7%

Ливан
7%

Иордания
6%

Марокко
5%
$37,513 Объем

Египет
22%

Катар
14%

Судан
12%

Сирия
11%

Кувейт
11%

Иран
10%

Йемен
9%

Бахрейн
9%

Сомали
9%

Объединённые Арабские Эмираты
8%

Ирак
8%

Оман
8%

Алжир
7%

Ливан
7%

Иордания
6%

Марокко
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective defense obligations and has been explicitly described as open to additional members. Trader focus centers on countries with preexisting close ties, as the short window to December 31 favors rapid diplomatic alignment over new negotiations. Egypt stands out due to repeated public references by Turkish officials as a natural partner and Cairo’s confirmation that it is studying membership under constitutional requirements. Reports indicate Iran received an invitation now under review, while Qatar, Kuwait, and other Gulf states have expressed interest or welcomed the framework. Broader candidates such as Iraq, Jordan, Syria, Azerbaijan, and the UAE face varying levels of regional coordination and security alignment hurdles. Upcoming bilateral talks and any formal accession announcements within the next several months will shape which states complete the process before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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