Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100% implied probability) to ITZY releasing a song in 2026, locked in by their confirmed early-year comeback amid JYP Entertainment's aggressive scheduling and world tour momentum. TWICE follows closely at around 90%, bolstered by the label's history of multiple annual releases despite member solo activities and Ready to Be tour extensions. NewJeans lags at 56%, reflecting HYBE-Ador legal fallout and hiatus uncertainty, contrasting sharper odds for peers like LE SSERAFIM. K-pop's hyper-competitive landscape—packed May comebacks from BABYMONSTER, NMIXX—fuels volatility; second-half announcements and chart trajectories could decisively shift markets before December 31 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакие группы KPop выпустят песни в 2026 году?
Какие группы KPop выпустят песни в 2026 году?
$120,344 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Itzy
99%
Twice
83%
NewJeans
55%
$120,344 Объем
Itzy
$31,861 Объем
99%
Twice
$14,564 Объем
83%
NewJeans
$134 Объем
55%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100% implied probability) to ITZY releasing a song in 2026, locked in by their confirmed early-year comeback amid JYP Entertainment's aggressive scheduling and world tour momentum. TWICE follows closely at around 90%, bolstered by the label's history of multiple annual releases despite member solo activities and Ready to Be tour extensions. NewJeans lags at 56%, reflecting HYBE-Ador legal fallout and hiatus uncertainty, contrasting sharper odds for peers like LE SSERAFIM. K-pop's hyper-competitive landscape—packed May comebacks from BABYMONSTER, NMIXX—fuels volatility; second-half announcements and chart trajectories could decisively shift markets before December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Открытие рынка: Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Объем
$120,344Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100% implied probability) to ITZY releasing a song in 2026, locked in by their confirmed early-year comeback amid JYP Entertainment's aggressive scheduling and world tour momentum. TWICE follows closely at around 90%, bolstered by the label's history of multiple annual releases despite member solo activities and Ready to Be tour extensions. NewJeans lags at 56%, reflecting HYBE-Ador legal fallout and hiatus uncertainty, contrasting sharper odds for peers like LE SSERAFIM. K-pop's hyper-competitive landscape—packed May comebacks from BABYMONSTER, NMIXX—fuels volatility; second-half announcements and chart trajectories could decisively shift markets before December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Объем
$120,344Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100% implied probability) to ITZY releasing a song in 2026, locked in by their confirmed early-year comeback amid JYP Entertainment's aggressive scheduling and world tour momentum. TWICE follows closely at around 90%, bolstered by the label's history of multiple annual releases despite member solo activities and Ready to Be tour extensions. NewJeans lags at 56%, reflecting HYBE-Ador legal fallout and hiatus uncertainty, contrasting sharper odds for peers like LE SSERAFIM. K-pop's hyper-competitive landscape—packed May comebacks from BABYMONSTER, NMIXX—fuels volatility; second-half announcements and chart trajectories could decisively shift markets before December 31 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы