Skip to main content
icon for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

icon for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

НОВОЕ
31 янв. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$5,665 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$2,035 Объем

91%

icon for Green Party (MP)

Green Party (MP)

$572 Объем

75%

icon for Left Party (V)

Left Party (V)

$191 Объем

44%

icon for Centre Party (C)

Centre Party (C)

$590 Объем

46%

icon for Moderate Party (M)

Moderate Party (M)

$43 Объем

22%

icon for Christian Democrats (KD)

Christian Democrats (KD)

$753 Объем

22%

icon for Liberals (L)

Liberals (L)

$648 Объем

14%

icon for Sweden Democrats (SD)

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$807 Объем

8%

icon for Citizens' Coalition (MED)

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$26 Объем

4%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.The next Swedish general election on 13 September 2026 will determine the 349-seat Riksdag and subsequent government formation through post-election negotiations. Current polls show the centre-left bloc—led by the Social Democrats and potentially including the Left and Greens—holding a clear lead near or above 55%, compared with roughly 42-46% for the incumbent right-wing Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, supported by Sweden Democrats). The proportional electoral system and 4% threshold favor bloc majorities around the 175-seat mark, with recent campaigning centering on crime, security, immigration, and the economy. Coalition talks after election night typically involve cross-party support arrangements or formal agreements, and any shift in final turnout or late polling could alter viable governing combinations.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Объем
$5,665
Дата окончания
31 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.The next Swedish general election on 13 September 2026 will determine the 349-seat Riksdag and subsequent government formation through post-election negotiations. Current polls show the centre-left bloc—led by the Social Democrats and potentially including the Left and Greens—holding a clear lead near or above 55%, compared with roughly 42-46% for the incumbent right-wing Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, supported by Sweden Democrats). The proportional electoral system and 4% threshold favor bloc majorities around the 175-seat mark, with recent campaigning centering on crime, security, immigration, and the economy. Coalition talks after election night typically involve cross-party support arrangements or formal agreements, and any shift in final turnout or late polling could alter viable governing combinations.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Объем
$5,665
Дата окончания
31 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)» с 91%, за ним следует «Green Party (MP)» с 75%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 91¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 91%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 19, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?» — «Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)» с 91%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 91%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Green Party (MP)» с 75%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.