Skip to main content
icon for Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?
Выборы·Мировые выборы

Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?

icon for Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?
Выборы·Мировые выборы

Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?

Единая Россия (ЕР) 70%

Новые люди (NL) 20.3%

Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) 6.8%

Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 1.6%

Polymarket

$19,842,449 Объем

Единая Россия (ЕР) 70%

Новые люди (NL) 20.3%

Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) 6.8%

Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 1.6%

Polymarket

$19,842,449 Объем

icon for Единая Россия (ЕР)

Единая Россия (ЕР)

$6,885,921 Объем

70%

icon for Новые люди (NL)

Новые люди (NL)

$2,085,497 Объем

20%

icon for Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)

Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)

$3,196,188 Объем

7%

icon for Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)

Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)

$1,318,885 Объем

2%

icon for Яблоко

Яблоко

$1,183,545 Объем

<1%

icon for Справедливая Россия — За правду (СРЗП)

Справедливая Россия — За правду (СРЗП)

$1,519,699 Объем

<1%

icon for Родина

Родина

$2,377,651 Объем

<1%

icon for Гражданская платформа (ГП)

Гражданская платформа (ГП)

$1,275,063 Объем

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a strong lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, supported by its dominance in single-member districts, extensive administrative resources, and consistent polling around 40-50 percent. As the ruling party with a current supermajority, it benefits from structural advantages that favor incumbents in Russia's mixed electoral system. New People has gained ground in some recent surveys, positioning it as the clearest alternative among registered parties and reflecting modest shifts in voter preferences ahead of the vote. The Communist Party, LDPR, and smaller registered groups trail further behind, constrained by lower support levels and limited prospects for overtaking the leader under the five-percent threshold and district dynamics. Scheduled voting across multiple days, including in certain territories, reinforces expectations of continuity in seat distribution.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Объем
$19,842,449
Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a strong lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, supported by its dominance in single-member districts, extensive administrative resources, and consistent polling around 40-50 percent. As the ruling party with a current supermajority, it benefits from structural advantages that favor incumbents in Russia's mixed electoral system. New People has gained ground in some recent surveys, positioning it as the clearest alternative among registered parties and reflecting modest shifts in voter preferences ahead of the vote. The Communist Party, LDPR, and smaller registered groups trail further behind, constrained by lower support levels and limited prospects for overtaking the leader under the five-percent threshold and district dynamics. Scheduled voting across multiple days, including in certain territories, reinforces expectations of continuity in seat distribution.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Объем
$19,842,449
Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу?

Выиграет ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу?

98%
Да
icon for Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

42%
icon for Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

83%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Единая Россия (ЕР)» с 70%, за ним следует «Новые люди (NL)» с 20%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 70¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 70%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $19.8 million с момента запуска рынка Jan 7, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?» — «Единая Россия (ЕР)» с 70%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 70%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Новые люди (NL)» с 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.