White women remain a closely divided voting bloc in the 2026 midterms, with recent generic congressional ballot surveys showing narrow Democratic edges among women overall that narrow further when isolating white respondents. Subgroup splits persist along education and religiosity lines, as college-educated and less religious white women tilt toward Democrats while white Christian and working-class women continue favoring Republicans at higher rates. Trader consensus near even odds reflects these persistent divides, historical patterns in midterm turnout, and limited recent movement in polling aggregates despite broader gender-gap trends. Scheduled fall campaign events, economic indicators, and voter mobilization efforts through November could widen or close the gap before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократы
49%
Республиканцы
48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократы
$0 Объем
49%
Республиканцы
$0 Объем
48%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".White women remain a closely divided voting bloc in the 2026 midterms, with recent generic congressional ballot surveys showing narrow Democratic edges among women overall that narrow further when isolating white respondents. Subgroup splits persist along education and religiosity lines, as college-educated and less religious white women tilt toward Democrats while white Christian and working-class women continue favoring Republicans at higher rates. Trader consensus near even odds reflects these persistent divides, historical patterns in midterm turnout, and limited recent movement in polling aggregates despite broader gender-gap trends. Scheduled fall campaign events, economic indicators, and voter mobilization efforts through November could widen or close the gap before ballots are cast.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
6 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 6:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".White women remain a closely divided voting bloc in the 2026 midterms, with recent generic congressional ballot surveys showing narrow Democratic edges among women overall that narrow further when isolating white respondents. Subgroup splits persist along education and religiosity lines, as college-educated and less religious white women tilt toward Democrats while white Christian and working-class women continue favoring Republicans at higher rates. Trader consensus near even odds reflects these persistent divides, historical patterns in midterm turnout, and limited recent movement in polling aggregates despite broader gender-gap trends. Scheduled fall campaign events, economic indicators, and voter mobilization efforts through November could widen or close the gap before ballots are cast.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$0Дата окончания
6 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 6:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...White women remain a closely divided voting bloc in the 2026 midterms, with recent generic congressional ballot surveys showing narrow Democratic edges among women overall that narrow further when isolating white respondents. Subgroup splits persist along education and religiosity lines, as college-educated and less religious white women tilt toward Democrats while white Christian and working-class women continue favoring Republicans at higher rates. Trader consensus near even odds reflects these persistent divides, historical patterns in midterm turnout, and limited recent movement in polling aggregates despite broader gender-gap trends. Scheduled fall campaign events, economic indicators, and voter mobilization efforts through November could widen or close the gap before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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