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icon for Кого арестуют до 2027 года?
Политика·Джеймс Коми

Кого арестуют до 2027 года?

icon for Кого арестуют до 2027 года?
Политика·Джеймс Коми

Кого арестуют до 2027 года?

$360,243 Объем

Polymarket

$360,243 Объем

Polymarket

Энтони Фаучи

$131,231 Объем

12%

Джон Бреннан

$18,168 Объем

29%

Хосе Луис Родригес Сапатеро

$21,642 Объем

23%

Адам Шифф

$16,394 Объем

3%

Барак Обама

$28,484 Объем

1%

Джеймс Коми

$9,602 Объем

6%

Махмуд Халиль

$1,278 Объем

27%

Джеймс Клэппер

$6,706 Объем

14%

Летишия Джеймс

$2,821 Объем

13%

Хиллари Клинтон

$25,009 Объем

3%

Билл Клинтон

$2,008 Объем

3%

Лоретта Линч

$2,376 Объем

10%

Сьюзан Райс

$304 Объем

9%

Кэндис Оуэнс

$263 Объем

6%

Гэвин Ньюсом

$37,141 Объем

3%

Биньямин Нетаньяху

$1,789 Объем

5%

Джон Керри

$346 Объем

3%

Пэм Бонди

$1,998 Объем

4%

Том Хоман

$39,428 Объем

11%

Каш Патель

$530 Объем

3%

Брэндон Джонсон

$3,174 Объем

8%

Лиза Кук

$3,218 Объем

11%

Ли Джун Сок

$794 Объем

11%

Джо Байден

$5,538 Объем

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders in the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market focus on former U.S. officials facing active or anticipated investigations, including John Brennan and James Comey, alongside figures such as Anthony Fauci. Market positioning reflects assessments of grand jury activity, congressional scrutiny, and Department of Justice priorities under the current administration. Recent months have seen continued probes into prior intelligence and public health decisions, though no major indictments have materialized by mid-2026. Key variables include the pace of federal cases, potential plea negotiations, and any shifts in enforcement following elections or leadership changes at relevant agencies. Resolution hinges on formal arrests occurring before January 1, 2027, with traders weighing historical patterns of accountability for high-ranking appointees against procedural and evidentiary hurdles.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$360,243
Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders in the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market focus on former U.S. officials facing active or anticipated investigations, including John Brennan and James Comey, alongside figures such as Anthony Fauci. Market positioning reflects assessments of grand jury activity, congressional scrutiny, and Department of Justice priorities under the current administration. Recent months have seen continued probes into prior intelligence and public health decisions, though no major indictments have materialized by mid-2026. Key variables include the pace of federal cases, potential plea negotiations, and any shifts in enforcement following elections or leadership changes at relevant agencies. Resolution hinges on formal arrests occurring before January 1, 2027, with traders weighing historical patterns of accountability for high-ranking appointees against procedural and evidentiary hurdles.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$360,243
Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Связанные

icon for Обама арестован до 2027 года?

Обама арестован до 2027 года?

3%
Да
icon for Будет ли арестован Хосе Луис Родригес Сапатеро до 31 декабря 2026 года?

Будет ли арестован Хосе Луис Родригес Сапатеро до 31 декабря 2026 года?

32%
Да
icon for Ли Чжэ Мён будет арестован до 2027 года?

Ли Чжэ Мён будет арестован до 2027 года?

9%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Кого арестуют до 2027 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 24 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Джон Бреннан» с 28%, за ним следует «Махмуд Халиль» с 27%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 28¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Кого арестуют до 2027 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $360.2K с момента запуска рынка Apr 30, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Кого арестуют до 2027 года?», просмотри 24 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Кого арестуют до 2027 года?» — «Джон Бреннан» с 28%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Махмуд Халиль» с 27%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кого арестуют до 2027 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.