The race for the next UN Secretary-General remains tightly contested among several Latin American and Caribbean candidates, with Rafael Grossi, Achim Steiner, and Rebeca Grynspan clustered near the top of trader pricing. This reflects the group's regional rotation turn, combined with each contender's strong administrative track records at major UN agencies like the IAEA, UNDP, and UNCTAD. Recent public dialogues, town halls, and the start of informal Security Council straw polls have not yet produced a decisive frontrunner, as P5 dynamics, gender preferences favoring a first female appointee, and varying levels of member-state backing continue to balance probabilities. Further consultations or shifts in permanent-member support could soon create clearer separation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКто будет следующим Генеральным секретарем ООН?
Кто будет следующим Генеральным секретарем ООН?
Ребека Гринспан 28.8%
Мишель Бачелет 3.6%
Джасинда Ардерн 3.5%
Мария Фернанда Эспиноса Гарсес 2.0%
$80,482 Объем
$80,482 Объем
Ребека Гринспан
29%
Мишель Бачелет
4%
Джасинда Ардерн
3%
Мария Фернанда Эспиноса Гарсес
2%
Кристалина Георгиева
1%
Бруно Донат
1%
Амина Мохаммед
1%
Миа Моттли
<1%
Алисия Барсена
<1%
Коломб Каэн-Сальвадор
21%
Дэвид Чокеуанка
<1%
Вук Еремич
<1%
Рафаэль Гросси
-
Ахим Штайнер
29%
Ребека Гринспан 28.8%
Мишель Бачелет 3.6%
Джасинда Ардерн 3.5%
Мария Фернанда Эспиноса Гарсес 2.0%
$80,482 Объем
$80,482 Объем
Ребека Гринспан
29%
Мишель Бачелет
4%
Джасинда Ардерн
3%
Мария Фернанда Эспиноса Гарсес
2%
Кристалина Георгиева
1%
Бруно Донат
1%
Амина Мохаммед
1%
Миа Моттли
<1%
Алисия Барсена
<1%
Коломб Каэн-Сальвадор
21%
Дэвид Чокеуанка
<1%
Вук Еремич
<1%
Рафаэль Гросси
-
Ахим Штайнер
29%
This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The race for the next UN Secretary-General remains tightly contested among several Latin American and Caribbean candidates, with Rafael Grossi, Achim Steiner, and Rebeca Grynspan clustered near the top of trader pricing. This reflects the group's regional rotation turn, combined with each contender's strong administrative track records at major UN agencies like the IAEA, UNDP, and UNCTAD. Recent public dialogues, town halls, and the start of informal Security Council straw polls have not yet produced a decisive frontrunner, as P5 dynamics, gender preferences favoring a first female appointee, and varying levels of member-state backing continue to balance probabilities. Further consultations or shifts in permanent-member support could soon create clearer separation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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