Rebeca Grynspan leads trader consensus at 45 percent due to her strong performance in the Security Council’s first straw poll on July 30, 2026, where she secured the most “encourage” votes among declared candidates. Her nomination by Costa Rica, current role heading UNCTAD, and prior experience as vice president position her well amid expectations of regional rotation to Latin America and Caribbean states plus momentum for the first female secretary-general. Achim Steiner at 34 percent and Rafael Grossi at 29.5 percent draw support as senior UN administrators with broad institutional backing, while Colombe Cahen-Salvador’s 32.5 percent reflects niche appeal in recent dialogues. Interactive candidate sessions and the ongoing Security Council process through late 2026 remain the main near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКто будет следующим Генеральным секретарем ООН?
Кто будет следующим Генеральным секретарем ООН?
Ребека Гринспан 53.9%
Рафаэль Гросси 31%
Мишель Бачелет 3.8%
Джасинда Ардерн 3.5%
$80,086 Объем
$80,086 Объем
Ребека Гринспан
45%
Рафаэль Гросси
31%
Мишель Бачелет
4%
Джасинда Ардерн
4%
Мария Фернанда Эспиноса Гарсес
2%
Кристалина Георгиева
1%
Бруно Донат
1%
Амина Мохаммед
1%
Миа Моттли
<1%
Алисия Барсена
<1%
Дэвид Чокеуанка
<1%
Вук Еремич
<1%
Коломб Каэн-Сальвадор
31%
Ахим Штайнер
33%
Ребека Гринспан 53.9%
Рафаэль Гросси 31%
Мишель Бачелет 3.8%
Джасинда Ардерн 3.5%
$80,086 Объем
$80,086 Объем
Ребека Гринспан
45%
Рафаэль Гросси
31%
Мишель Бачелет
4%
Джасинда Ардерн
4%
Мария Фернанда Эспиноса Гарсес
2%
Кристалина Георгиева
1%
Бруно Донат
1%
Амина Мохаммед
1%
Миа Моттли
<1%
Алисия Барсена
<1%
Дэвид Чокеуанка
<1%
Вук Еремич
<1%
Коломб Каэн-Сальвадор
31%
Ахим Штайнер
33%
This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rebeca Grynspan leads trader consensus at 45 percent due to her strong performance in the Security Council’s first straw poll on July 30, 2026, where she secured the most “encourage” votes among declared candidates. Her nomination by Costa Rica, current role heading UNCTAD, and prior experience as vice president position her well amid expectations of regional rotation to Latin America and Caribbean states plus momentum for the first female secretary-general. Achim Steiner at 34 percent and Rafael Grossi at 29.5 percent draw support as senior UN administrators with broad institutional backing, while Colombe Cahen-Salvador’s 32.5 percent reflects niche appeal in recent dialogues. Interactive candidate sessions and the ongoing Security Council process through late 2026 remain the main near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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