Speculation about possible retirements by aging conservative justices like Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito continues to shape trader views on the next Trump administration Supreme Court nomination, yet no vacancy has materialized by mid-2026. With a wide field of Trump-appointed circuit judges and Republican senators under consideration—including James Ho, Neomi Rao, Andrew Oldham, Amul Thapar, Patrick Bumatay, Steven Menashi, Aileen Cannon, Gregory Katsas, John Sauer, Mike Lee, and Ted Cruz—the market reflects broad uncertainty over the president's eventual choice and Senate confirmation dynamics. Recent end-of-term retirement chatter and ongoing judicial writings have kept probabilities tightly clustered, as no single candidate has received decisive public signals. A formal retirement announcement, targeted presidential endorsement, or shifting Senate priorities could quickly differentiate leading contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКто будет следующим администратором Трампа, выдвинутым в качестве СКОТУСА Джастиса?
Кто будет следующим администратором Трампа, выдвинутым в качестве СКОТУСА Джастиса?
Эйлин Кэннон 14%
Джеймс Хо 14%
Неоми Рао 14%
Эндрю Олдэм 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 янв. 2029 г.
Джон Сауэр
10%
Майк Ли
8%
Тед Круз
10%
Эндрю Олдэм
12%
Эйлин Кэннон
14%
Джеймс Хо
14%
Неоми Рао
14%
Грегори Кацас
8%
Патрик Буматай
13%
Стивен Менаши
14%
Амул Тапар
8%
Эйлин Кэннон 14%
Джеймс Хо 14%
Неоми Рао 14%
Эндрю Олдэм 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 янв. 2029 г.
Джон Сауэр
$55 Объем
10%
Майк Ли
$66 Объем
8%
Тед Круз
$70 Объем
10%
Эндрю Олдэм
$245 Объем
12%
Эйлин Кэннон
$58 Объем
14%
Джеймс Хо
$49 Объем
14%
Неоми Рао
$72 Объем
14%
Грегори Кацас
$53 Объем
8%
Патрик Буматай
$42 Объем
13%
Стивен Менаши
$67 Объем
14%
Амул Тапар
$43 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Speculation about possible retirements by aging conservative justices like Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito continues to shape trader views on the next Trump administration Supreme Court nomination, yet no vacancy has materialized by mid-2026. With a wide field of Trump-appointed circuit judges and Republican senators under consideration—including James Ho, Neomi Rao, Andrew Oldham, Amul Thapar, Patrick Bumatay, Steven Menashi, Aileen Cannon, Gregory Katsas, John Sauer, Mike Lee, and Ted Cruz—the market reflects broad uncertainty over the president's eventual choice and Senate confirmation dynamics. Recent end-of-term retirement chatter and ongoing judicial writings have kept probabilities tightly clustered, as no single candidate has received decisive public signals. A formal retirement announcement, targeted presidential endorsement, or shifting Senate priorities could quickly differentiate leading contenders.
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Объем
$820Дата окончания
19 янв. 2029 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Speculation about possible retirements by aging conservative justices like Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito continues to shape trader views on the next Trump administration Supreme Court nomination, yet no vacancy has materialized by mid-2026. With a wide field of Trump-appointed circuit judges and Republican senators under consideration—including James Ho, Neomi Rao, Andrew Oldham, Amul Thapar, Patrick Bumatay, Steven Menashi, Aileen Cannon, Gregory Katsas, John Sauer, Mike Lee, and Ted Cruz—the market reflects broad uncertainty over the president's eventual choice and Senate confirmation dynamics. Recent end-of-term retirement chatter and ongoing judicial writings have kept probabilities tightly clustered, as no single candidate has received decisive public signals. A formal retirement announcement, targeted presidential endorsement, or shifting Senate priorities could quickly differentiate leading contenders.
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$820Дата окончания
19 янв. 2029 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Speculation about possible retirements by aging conservative justices like Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito continues to shape trader views on the next Trump administration Supreme Court nomination, yet no vacancy has materialized by mid-2026. With a wide field of Trump-appointed circuit judges and Republican senators under consideration—including James Ho, Neomi Rao, Andrew Oldham, Amul Thapar, Patrick Bumatay, Steven Menashi, Aileen Cannon, Gregory Katsas, John Sauer, Mike Lee, and Ted Cruz—the market reflects broad uncertainty over the president's eventual choice and Senate confirmation dynamics. Recent end-of-term retirement chatter and ongoing judicial writings have kept probabilities tightly clustered, as no single candidate has received decisive public signals. A formal retirement announcement, targeted presidential endorsement, or shifting Senate priorities could quickly differentiate leading contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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