Ilia Topuria holds the strongest implied probability in this market due to his undefeated record, first-round finishes, and successful move to lightweight, where he captured the title before unifying against interim champion Justin Gaethje at UFC Freedom 250. Traders price in Topuria’s continued reign or quick return through 2026 despite potential welterweight pursuits or personal delays that previously postponed defenses. Arman Tsarukyan sits distant at No. 2 amid reported title-shot postponements into late 2026, while veterans like Gaethje, Charles Oliveira, and Benoît Saint Denis trail on recent form, age, and matchup vulnerabilities. The crowded division and injury risks keep long-shot upside alive for rising names, but Topuria’s skill edge and activity project as the dominant consensus through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИлия Топурия 69%
Арман Царукян 19.3%
Джастин Гейджи 8.0%
Чарльз Оливейра 7.0%
$605,052 Объем
$605,052 Объем
Илия Топурия
69%
Арман Царукян
11%
Чарльз Оливейра
7%
Макс Холлоуэй
<1%
Джастин Гейджи
8%
Пэдди Пимблетт
<1%
Дэн Хукер
<1%
Матеуш Гамрот
<1%
Бенуа Сент-Дени
3%
Рафаэль Физиев
<1%
Ренато Мойкано
<1%
Боец А
<1%
Илия Топурия 69%
Арман Царукян 19.3%
Джастин Гейджи 8.0%
Чарльз Оливейра 7.0%
$605,052 Объем
$605,052 Объем
Илия Топурия
69%
Арман Царукян
11%
Чарльз Оливейра
7%
Макс Холлоуэй
<1%
Джастин Гейджи
8%
Пэдди Пимблетт
<1%
Дэн Хукер
<1%
Матеуш Гамрот
<1%
Бенуа Сент-Дени
3%
Рафаэль Физиев
<1%
Ренато Мойкано
<1%
Боец А
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ilia Topuria holds the strongest implied probability in this market due to his undefeated record, first-round finishes, and successful move to lightweight, where he captured the title before unifying against interim champion Justin Gaethje at UFC Freedom 250. Traders price in Topuria’s continued reign or quick return through 2026 despite potential welterweight pursuits or personal delays that previously postponed defenses. Arman Tsarukyan sits distant at No. 2 amid reported title-shot postponements into late 2026, while veterans like Gaethje, Charles Oliveira, and Benoît Saint Denis trail on recent form, age, and matchup vulnerabilities. The crowded division and injury risks keep long-shot upside alive for rising names, but Topuria’s skill edge and activity project as the dominant consensus through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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