Islam Makhachev’s commanding 74.5% implied probability stems from his elite skill set, recent lightweight title defenses, and widespread trader anticipation of a move to welterweight where his grappling and cardio could dominate the division through 2026. Gabriel Bonfim at 25.9% and Ian Garry at 17.5% trail as emerging contenders whose recent wins have boosted their profiles yet leave them unproven against top competition. Lower-priced options such as Shavkat Rakhmonov and current champion Belal Muhammad sit near 0% because of age curves, scheduling uncertainty, and the market’s view that established champions face steep barriers to holding the belt long-term amid rising prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИслам Махачев 80%
Боец А 34.4%
Иан Мачадо Гарри 17.5%
Карлос Пратес 1.3%
$608,647 Объем
$608,647 Объем
Ислам Махачев
75%
Боец А
34%
Иан Мачадо Гарри
18%
Карлос Пратес
1%
Шавкат Рахмонов
<1%
Камару Усман
<1%
Майкл Моралес
<1%
Шон Брейди
<1%
Джек Делла Маддалена
<1%
Белал Мухаммад
<1%
Леон Эдвардс
<1%
Хоакин Бакли
<1%
Ислам Махачев 80%
Боец А 34.4%
Иан Мачадо Гарри 17.5%
Карлос Пратес 1.3%
$608,647 Объем
$608,647 Объем
Ислам Махачев
75%
Боец А
34%
Иан Мачадо Гарри
18%
Карлос Пратес
1%
Шавкат Рахмонов
<1%
Камару Усман
<1%
Майкл Моралес
<1%
Шон Брейди
<1%
Джек Делла Маддалена
<1%
Белал Мухаммад
<1%
Леон Эдвардс
<1%
Хоакин Бакли
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev’s commanding 74.5% implied probability stems from his elite skill set, recent lightweight title defenses, and widespread trader anticipation of a move to welterweight where his grappling and cardio could dominate the division through 2026. Gabriel Bonfim at 25.9% and Ian Garry at 17.5% trail as emerging contenders whose recent wins have boosted their profiles yet leave them unproven against top competition. Lower-priced options such as Shavkat Rakhmonov and current champion Belal Muhammad sit near 0% because of age curves, scheduling uncertainty, and the market’s view that established champions face steep barriers to holding the belt long-term amid rising prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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