KRG leaders have shown no movement toward a formal independence declaration, as internal political deadlock since the 2025 regional elections has blocked government formation and focused efforts on budget negotiations and oil revenue sharing with Baghdad. Federal authorities now control key export pipelines and customs systems, while KRG statements during the 2026 Iran-related tensions explicitly reaffirmed commitment to Iraq’s sovereignty and de-escalation. New Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi’s formation has prompted outreach from KRG figures like Nechirvan and Masrour Barzani seeking greater influence inside the federal system rather than separation. Absent international backing or unified Kurdish momentum, these factors sustain trader consensus that no qualifying declaration will occur by year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКРГ объявит независимость от Ирака к 31 декабря?
КРГ объявит независимость от Ирака к 31 декабря?
Да
$52,590 Объем
$52,590 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$52,590 Объем
$52,590 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.KRG leaders have shown no movement toward a formal independence declaration, as internal political deadlock since the 2025 regional elections has blocked government formation and focused efforts on budget negotiations and oil revenue sharing with Baghdad. Federal authorities now control key export pipelines and customs systems, while KRG statements during the 2026 Iran-related tensions explicitly reaffirmed commitment to Iraq’s sovereignty and de-escalation. New Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi’s formation has prompted outreach from KRG figures like Nechirvan and Masrour Barzani seeking greater influence inside the federal system rather than separation. Absent international backing or unified Kurdish momentum, these factors sustain trader consensus that no qualifying declaration will occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Объем
$52,590Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.KRG leaders have shown no movement toward a formal independence declaration, as internal political deadlock since the 2025 regional elections has blocked government formation and focused efforts on budget negotiations and oil revenue sharing with Baghdad. Federal authorities now control key export pipelines and customs systems, while KRG statements during the 2026 Iran-related tensions explicitly reaffirmed commitment to Iraq’s sovereignty and de-escalation. New Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi’s formation has prompted outreach from KRG figures like Nechirvan and Masrour Barzani seeking greater influence inside the federal system rather than separation. Absent international backing or unified Kurdish momentum, these factors sustain trader consensus that no qualifying declaration will occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$52,590Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...KRG leaders have shown no movement toward a formal independence declaration, as internal political deadlock since the 2025 regional elections has blocked government formation and focused efforts on budget negotiations and oil revenue sharing with Baghdad. Federal authorities now control key export pipelines and customs systems, while KRG statements during the 2026 Iran-related tensions explicitly reaffirmed commitment to Iraq’s sovereignty and de-escalation. New Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi’s formation has prompted outreach from KRG figures like Nechirvan and Masrour Barzani seeking greater influence inside the federal system rather than separation. Absent international backing or unified Kurdish momentum, these factors sustain trader consensus that no qualifying declaration will occur by year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы