Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Chinese mathematician Hong Wang as the frontrunner for the 2026 Fields Medal, driven by her groundbreaking proof of the Kakeya set conjecture and recent sweeps of two major precursor prizes in April 2026, bolstering her profile in harmonic analysis. Jacob Tsimerman and Jack Thorne trail closely, credited with resolving the André-Oort conjecture and advancing number theory via tools from Fermat's Last Theorem, respectively, amid a competitive field of under-40 prodigies including Javier Fresán and John Pardon. The International Mathematical Union committee emphasizes diversity and impact in selecting up to four winners, with secret votes adding unpredictability; the announcement looms at the ICM in Philadelphia, July 23–30, where last-minute breakthroughs could shift dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКто выиграет медаль Филдса 2026 года?
Кто выиграет медаль Филдса 2026 года?
$519,078 Объем
30 июл. 2026 г.
Хон Ван
80%
Джек Торн
56%
Джейкоб Цимерман
71%
Уилл Сауин
38%
Ю Дэн
37%
Джон Пардон
34%
Сэм Раскин
33%
Александр Логунов
28%
Джулиан Сахасрабудхе
28%
Александр Ефимов
32%
$519,078 Объем
Хон Ван
$72,195 Объем
80%
Джек Торн
$100,528 Объем
56%
Джейкоб Цимерман
$54,092 Объем
71%
Уилл Сауин
$3,940 Объем
38%
Ю Дэн
$116,590 Объем
37%
Джон Пардон
$84,016 Объем
34%
Сэм Раскин
$2,483 Объем
33%
Александр Логунов
$204 Объем
28%
Джулиан Сахасрабудхе
$84,501 Объем
28%
Александр Ефимов
$529 Объем
32%
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Chinese mathematician Hong Wang as the frontrunner for the 2026 Fields Medal, driven by her groundbreaking proof of the Kakeya set conjecture and recent sweeps of two major precursor prizes in April 2026, bolstering her profile in harmonic analysis. Jacob Tsimerman and Jack Thorne trail closely, credited with resolving the André-Oort conjecture and advancing number theory via tools from Fermat's Last Theorem, respectively, amid a competitive field of under-40 prodigies including Javier Fresán and John Pardon. The International Mathematical Union committee emphasizes diversity and impact in selecting up to four winners, with secret votes adding unpredictability; the announcement looms at the ICM in Philadelphia, July 23–30, where last-minute breakthroughs could shift dynamics.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
Объем
$519,078Дата окончания
30 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Chinese mathematician Hong Wang as the frontrunner for the 2026 Fields Medal, driven by her groundbreaking proof of the Kakeya set conjecture and recent sweeps of two major precursor prizes in April 2026, bolstering her profile in harmonic analysis. Jacob Tsimerman and Jack Thorne trail closely, credited with resolving the André-Oort conjecture and advancing number theory via tools from Fermat's Last Theorem, respectively, amid a competitive field of under-40 prodigies including Javier Fresán and John Pardon. The International Mathematical Union committee emphasizes diversity and impact in selecting up to four winners, with secret votes adding unpredictability; the announcement looms at the ICM in Philadelphia, July 23–30, where last-minute breakthroughs could shift dynamics.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Объем
$519,078Дата окончания
30 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Chinese mathematician Hong Wang as the frontrunner for the 2026 Fields Medal, driven by her groundbreaking proof of the Kakeya set conjecture and recent sweeps of two major precursor prizes in April 2026, bolstering her profile in harmonic analysis. Jacob Tsimerman and Jack Thorne trail closely, credited with resolving the André-Oort conjecture and advancing number theory via tools from Fermat's Last Theorem, respectively, amid a competitive field of under-40 prodigies including Javier Fresán and John Pardon. The International Mathematical Union committee emphasizes diversity and impact in selecting up to four winners, with secret votes adding unpredictability; the announcement looms at the ICM in Philadelphia, July 23–30, where last-minute breakthroughs could shift dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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