Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive and efforts to ensure absolute loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army have driven recent high-level removals, including the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, following 2025 ousters of figures such as He Weidong and Miao Hua. A July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui extended the pattern beyond the military. These moves have hollowed out the CMC and targeted perceived disloyalty or corruption, reducing the body to Xi and one remaining vice chairman. Preparations for the 2027 21st Party Congress, including cadre assessments expected to intensify in 2026, could prompt additional leadership reviews or shifts as Xi seeks to consolidate influence and select successors aligned with his priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$199,128 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Дун Цзюнь
13%
Чжан Шэнмин
6%
Цай Ци
6%
Чжао Лэцзи
5%
Дин Сюэсян
4%
Ван Хунин
4%
Ли Си
3%
Ли Цян
2%
Ван И
2%
$199,128 Объем
Дун Цзюнь
$37,884 Объем
13%
Чжан Шэнмин
$28,278 Объем
6%
Цай Ци
$43,298 Объем
6%
Чжао Лэцзи
$10,974 Объем
5%
Дин Сюэсян
$16,094 Объем
4%
Ван Хунин
$11,823 Объем
4%
Ли Си
$28,260 Объем
3%
Ли Цян
$6,851 Объем
2%
Ван И
$15,668 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive and efforts to ensure absolute loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army have driven recent high-level removals, including the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, following 2025 ousters of figures such as He Weidong and Miao Hua. A July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui extended the pattern beyond the military. These moves have hollowed out the CMC and targeted perceived disloyalty or corruption, reducing the body to Xi and one remaining vice chairman. Preparations for the 2027 21st Party Congress, including cadre assessments expected to intensify in 2026, could prompt additional leadership reviews or shifts as Xi seeks to consolidate influence and select successors aligned with his priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Объем
$199,128Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive and efforts to ensure absolute loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army have driven recent high-level removals, including the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, following 2025 ousters of figures such as He Weidong and Miao Hua. A July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui extended the pattern beyond the military. These moves have hollowed out the CMC and targeted perceived disloyalty or corruption, reducing the body to Xi and one remaining vice chairman. Preparations for the 2027 21st Party Congress, including cadre assessments expected to intensify in 2026, could prompt additional leadership reviews or shifts as Xi seeks to consolidate influence and select successors aligned with his priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$199,128Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive and efforts to ensure absolute loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army have driven recent high-level removals, including the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, following 2025 ousters of figures such as He Weidong and Miao Hua. A July 2026 expulsion of Politburo member Ma Xingrui extended the pattern beyond the military. These moves have hollowed out the CMC and targeted perceived disloyalty or corruption, reducing the body to Xi and one remaining vice chairman. Preparations for the 2027 21st Party Congress, including cadre assessments expected to intensify in 2026, could prompt additional leadership reviews or shifts as Xi seeks to consolidate influence and select successors aligned with his priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы