Xi Jinping has sustained an expansive anti-corruption campaign that functions as a mechanism for leadership renewal and loyalty enforcement within the Chinese Communist Party and the People's Liberation Army. In early 2026, investigations targeted senior Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, extending prior waves that removed multiple CMC vice chairmen, defense ministers, and over 100 senior officers since 2023. Additional probes reached civilian officials such as former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui. These actions have hollowed out the CMC, leaving it dominated by Xi and a small number of remaining figures. With the 21st Party Congress scheduled for 2027, traders monitor signals from Central Committee plenums, discipline inspection reports, and personnel reshuffles that historically precede larger turnovers aimed at installing aligned successors ahead of term renewals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$199,176 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Дун Цзюнь
12%
Чжан Шэнмин
6%
Цай Ци
6%
Чжао Лэцзи
5%
Дин Сюэсян
4%
Ван Хунин
4%
Ли Си
3%
Ли Цян
2%
Ван И
2%
$199,176 Объем
Дун Цзюнь
$37,884 Объем
12%
Чжан Шэнмин
$28,278 Объем
6%
Цай Ци
$43,328 Объем
6%
Чжао Лэцзи
$10,974 Объем
5%
Дин Сюэсян
$16,094 Объем
4%
Ван Хунин
$11,823 Объем
4%
Ли Си
$28,277 Объем
3%
Ли Цян
$6,851 Объем
2%
Ван И
$15,668 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping has sustained an expansive anti-corruption campaign that functions as a mechanism for leadership renewal and loyalty enforcement within the Chinese Communist Party and the People's Liberation Army. In early 2026, investigations targeted senior Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, extending prior waves that removed multiple CMC vice chairmen, defense ministers, and over 100 senior officers since 2023. Additional probes reached civilian officials such as former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui. These actions have hollowed out the CMC, leaving it dominated by Xi and a small number of remaining figures. With the 21st Party Congress scheduled for 2027, traders monitor signals from Central Committee plenums, discipline inspection reports, and personnel reshuffles that historically precede larger turnovers aimed at installing aligned successors ahead of term renewals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Объем
$199,176Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping has sustained an expansive anti-corruption campaign that functions as a mechanism for leadership renewal and loyalty enforcement within the Chinese Communist Party and the People's Liberation Army. In early 2026, investigations targeted senior Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, extending prior waves that removed multiple CMC vice chairmen, defense ministers, and over 100 senior officers since 2023. Additional probes reached civilian officials such as former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui. These actions have hollowed out the CMC, leaving it dominated by Xi and a small number of remaining figures. With the 21st Party Congress scheduled for 2027, traders monitor signals from Central Committee plenums, discipline inspection reports, and personnel reshuffles that historically precede larger turnovers aimed at installing aligned successors ahead of term renewals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$199,176Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping has sustained an expansive anti-corruption campaign that functions as a mechanism for leadership renewal and loyalty enforcement within the Chinese Communist Party and the People's Liberation Army. In early 2026, investigations targeted senior Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, extending prior waves that removed multiple CMC vice chairmen, defense ministers, and over 100 senior officers since 2023. Additional probes reached civilian officials such as former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui. These actions have hollowed out the CMC, leaving it dominated by Xi and a small number of remaining figures. With the 21st Party Congress scheduled for 2027, traders monitor signals from Central Committee plenums, discipline inspection reports, and personnel reshuffles that historically precede larger turnovers aimed at installing aligned successors ahead of term renewals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы