Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign, conducted through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, continues to drive trader focus on potential 2026 targets within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army leadership. Recent developments include the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairmen Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, which reduced the CMC to just two active members and followed the removal of more than 100 senior officers since 2022. Additional actions in February and March removed military figures from the National People’s Congress and advisory roles ahead of the Two Sessions, while an April probe into Politburo member Ma Xingrui extended scrutiny beyond the military. With the 21st Party Congress scheduled for 2027, analysts note pressure to install loyal replacements and address perceived patronage networks, though no new high-profile cases have surfaced in the past month. Traders assess signals of further loyalty tests or discipline inspections that could affect senior officials before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$157,301 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Дун Цзюнь
8%
Ван И
7%
Чжан Шэнмин
5%
Дин Сюэсян
5%
Ван Хунин
5%
Чжао Лэцзи
5%
Ли Цян
5%
Цай Ци
4%
Ли Си
1%
$157,301 Объем
Дун Цзюнь
$31,499 Объем
8%
Ван И
$11,781 Объем
7%
Чжан Шэнмин
$19,809 Объем
5%
Дин Сюэсян
$13,496 Объем
5%
Ван Хунин
$10,095 Объем
5%
Чжао Лэцзи
$6,881 Объем
5%
Ли Цян
$5,529 Объем
5%
Цай Ци
$33,828 Объем
4%
Ли Си
$24,382 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign, conducted through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, continues to drive trader focus on potential 2026 targets within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army leadership. Recent developments include the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairmen Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, which reduced the CMC to just two active members and followed the removal of more than 100 senior officers since 2022. Additional actions in February and March removed military figures from the National People’s Congress and advisory roles ahead of the Two Sessions, while an April probe into Politburo member Ma Xingrui extended scrutiny beyond the military. With the 21st Party Congress scheduled for 2027, analysts note pressure to install loyal replacements and address perceived patronage networks, though no new high-profile cases have surfaced in the past month. Traders assess signals of further loyalty tests or discipline inspections that could affect senior officials before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Объем
$157,301Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign, conducted through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, continues to drive trader focus on potential 2026 targets within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army leadership. Recent developments include the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairmen Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, which reduced the CMC to just two active members and followed the removal of more than 100 senior officers since 2022. Additional actions in February and March removed military figures from the National People’s Congress and advisory roles ahead of the Two Sessions, while an April probe into Politburo member Ma Xingrui extended scrutiny beyond the military. With the 21st Party Congress scheduled for 2027, analysts note pressure to install loyal replacements and address perceived patronage networks, though no new high-profile cases have surfaced in the past month. Traders assess signals of further loyalty tests or discipline inspections that could affect senior officials before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$157,301Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign, conducted through the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, continues to drive trader focus on potential 2026 targets within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army leadership. Recent developments include the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairmen Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, which reduced the CMC to just two active members and followed the removal of more than 100 senior officers since 2022. Additional actions in February and March removed military figures from the National People’s Congress and advisory roles ahead of the Two Sessions, while an April probe into Politburo member Ma Xingrui extended scrutiny beyond the military. With the 21st Party Congress scheduled for 2027, analysts note pressure to install loyal replacements and address perceived patronage networks, though no new high-profile cases have surfaced in the past month. Traders assess signals of further loyalty tests or discipline inspections that could affect senior officials before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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