Wisconsin's 7th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the open contest created by incumbent Tom Tiffany's decision to seek the governorship. The district's partisan lean, reflected in Tiffany's 63.6% margin in 2024, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Recent August primaries produced clear nominees—Michael Alfonso on the Republican side and Fred Clark for Democrats—with Alfonso securing a decisive primary victory. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, and the absence of major Democratic challengers or polling shifts since the primaries has sustained the wide gap in implied probabilities. The November general election timeline leaves limited scope for late developments to alter the current positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWI-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
WI-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$34,544 Объем
$34,544 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
89%
Демократическая партия
12%
$34,544 Объем
$34,544 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$18,945 Объем
89%
Демократическая партия
$15,599 Объем
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 7th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the open contest created by incumbent Tom Tiffany's decision to seek the governorship. The district's partisan lean, reflected in Tiffany's 63.6% margin in 2024, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Recent August primaries produced clear nominees—Michael Alfonso on the Republican side and Fred Clark for Democrats—with Alfonso securing a decisive primary victory. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, and the absence of major Democratic challengers or polling shifts since the primaries has sustained the wide gap in implied probabilities. The November general election timeline leaves limited scope for late developments to alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$34,544Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 7th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the open contest created by incumbent Tom Tiffany's decision to seek the governorship. The district's partisan lean, reflected in Tiffany's 63.6% margin in 2024, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Recent August primaries produced clear nominees—Michael Alfonso on the Republican side and Fred Clark for Democrats—with Alfonso securing a decisive primary victory. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, and the absence of major Democratic challengers or polling shifts since the primaries has sustained the wide gap in implied probabilities. The November general election timeline leaves limited scope for late developments to alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$34,544Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 7th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the open contest created by incumbent Tom Tiffany's decision to seek the governorship. The district's partisan lean, reflected in Tiffany's 63.6% margin in 2024, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Recent August primaries produced clear nominees—Michael Alfonso on the Republican side and Fred Clark for Democrats—with Alfonso securing a decisive primary victory. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, and the absence of major Democratic challengers or polling shifts since the primaries has sustained the wide gap in implied probabilities. The November general election timeline leaves limited scope for late developments to alter the current positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы