An Alberta Court of King's Bench ruling on May 13 quashed a separatist petition seeking a referendum on provincial independence, siding with First Nations groups that argued the government failed to consult on treaty rights, derailing momentum from over 300,000 signatures submitted earlier in May. Premier Danielle Smith, who rejects U.S. statehood for Alberta, plans an appeal but could add a separation question to a planned October referendum; however, trader consensus at 95.5% "No" reflects insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act requiring federal negotiations and clear majority support, low public backing per recent polls favoring unity, and no U.S. annexation mechanism without prior sovereignty. Realistic shifts would demand improbable successes: referendum victory, Ottawa divorce talks, and bilateral U.S. admission amid diplomatic opposition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПрисоединится ли Альберта к США?
Присоединится ли Альберта к США?
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.An Alberta Court of King's Bench ruling on May 13 quashed a separatist petition seeking a referendum on provincial independence, siding with First Nations groups that argued the government failed to consult on treaty rights, derailing momentum from over 300,000 signatures submitted earlier in May. Premier Danielle Smith, who rejects U.S. statehood for Alberta, plans an appeal but could add a separation question to a planned October referendum; however, trader consensus at 95.5% "No" reflects insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act requiring federal negotiations and clear majority support, low public backing per recent polls favoring unity, and no U.S. annexation mechanism without prior sovereignty. Realistic shifts would demand improbable successes: referendum victory, Ottawa divorce talks, and bilateral U.S. admission amid diplomatic opposition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Объем
$6,943Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.An Alberta Court of King's Bench ruling on May 13 quashed a separatist petition seeking a referendum on provincial independence, siding with First Nations groups that argued the government failed to consult on treaty rights, derailing momentum from over 300,000 signatures submitted earlier in May. Premier Danielle Smith, who rejects U.S. statehood for Alberta, plans an appeal but could add a separation question to a planned October referendum; however, trader consensus at 95.5% "No" reflects insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act requiring federal negotiations and clear majority support, low public backing per recent polls favoring unity, and no U.S. annexation mechanism without prior sovereignty. Realistic shifts would demand improbable successes: referendum victory, Ottawa divorce talks, and bilateral U.S. admission amid diplomatic opposition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Объем
$6,943Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...An Alberta Court of King's Bench ruling on May 13 quashed a separatist petition seeking a referendum on provincial independence, siding with First Nations groups that argued the government failed to consult on treaty rights, derailing momentum from over 300,000 signatures submitted earlier in May. Premier Danielle Smith, who rejects U.S. statehood for Alberta, plans an appeal but could add a separation question to a planned October referendum; however, trader consensus at 95.5% "No" reflects insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act requiring federal negotiations and clear majority support, low public backing per recent polls favoring unity, and no U.S. annexation mechanism without prior sovereignty. Realistic shifts would demand improbable successes: referendum victory, Ottawa divorce talks, and bilateral U.S. admission amid diplomatic opposition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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