An Alberta Court of King's Bench ruling on May 13 quashed Elections Alberta's approval of a citizen initiative petition seeking a referendum on provincial independence, citing the government's failure to consult First Nations on treaty rights despite over 300,000 signatures collected. Premier Danielle Smith called the decision anti-democratic and signaled a potential appeal, though her administration plans an October 2026 referendum on immigration limits and sovereignty within Canada, explicitly avoiding separation. Recent polls show flat, minority support for separatism amid legal hurdles and constitutional barriers to secession. Traders' 88.9% implied probability on "No" reflects this procedural setback and lack of scheduled independence vote, underscoring the movement's uncertain path forward.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$66,166 Объем
$66,166 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$66,166 Объем
$66,166 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.An Alberta Court of King's Bench ruling on May 13 quashed Elections Alberta's approval of a citizen initiative petition seeking a referendum on provincial independence, citing the government's failure to consult First Nations on treaty rights despite over 300,000 signatures collected. Premier Danielle Smith called the decision anti-democratic and signaled a potential appeal, though her administration plans an October 2026 referendum on immigration limits and sovereignty within Canada, explicitly avoiding separation. Recent polls show flat, minority support for separatism amid legal hurdles and constitutional barriers to secession. Traders' 88.9% implied probability on "No" reflects this procedural setback and lack of scheduled independence vote, underscoring the movement's uncertain path forward.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Объем
$66,166Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.An Alberta Court of King's Bench ruling on May 13 quashed Elections Alberta's approval of a citizen initiative petition seeking a referendum on provincial independence, citing the government's failure to consult First Nations on treaty rights despite over 300,000 signatures collected. Premier Danielle Smith called the decision anti-democratic and signaled a potential appeal, though her administration plans an October 2026 referendum on immigration limits and sovereignty within Canada, explicitly avoiding separation. Recent polls show flat, minority support for separatism amid legal hurdles and constitutional barriers to secession. Traders' 88.9% implied probability on "No" reflects this procedural setback and lack of scheduled independence vote, underscoring the movement's uncertain path forward.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$66,166Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...An Alberta Court of King's Bench ruling on May 13 quashed Elections Alberta's approval of a citizen initiative petition seeking a referendum on provincial independence, citing the government's failure to consult First Nations on treaty rights despite over 300,000 signatures collected. Premier Danielle Smith called the decision anti-democratic and signaled a potential appeal, though her administration plans an October 2026 referendum on immigration limits and sovereignty within Canada, explicitly avoiding separation. Recent polls show flat, minority support for separatism amid legal hurdles and constitutional barriers to secession. Traders' 88.9% implied probability on "No" reflects this procedural setback and lack of scheduled independence vote, underscoring the movement's uncertain path forward.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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