**Strong US regulatory and political barriers, including CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon blacklist over alleged military ties, are the main factors keeping the “No” outcome at 72.5% implied probability.** Apple has tested the Chinese firm’s DRAM chips for iPhones and MacBooks and held early talks focused on China-market devices to ease an AI-driven memory shortage, while lobbying the Trump administration for waivers. However, bipartisan senators have urged Apple to abandon any sourcing, even for China-only use, and recent reports indicate CXMT rejected Apple’s requests for discounted pricing. These hurdles, combined with technology-transfer restrictions and pressure to support allied suppliers like Micron, have shaped trader consensus that a commercial purchase remains improbable before year-end despite ongoing qualification efforts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли Apple покупать чипы памяти CXMT в 2026 году?
Будет ли Apple покупать чипы памяти CXMT в 2026 году?
Да
28% вероятность
$15,070 Объем
$15,070 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
28% вероятность
$15,070 Объем
$15,070 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Strong US regulatory and political barriers, including CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon blacklist over alleged military ties, are the main factors keeping the “No” outcome at 72.5% implied probability.** Apple has tested the Chinese firm’s DRAM chips for iPhones and MacBooks and held early talks focused on China-market devices to ease an AI-driven memory shortage, while lobbying the Trump administration for waivers. However, bipartisan senators have urged Apple to abandon any sourcing, even for China-only use, and recent reports indicate CXMT rejected Apple’s requests for discounted pricing. These hurdles, combined with technology-transfer restrictions and pressure to support allied suppliers like Micron, have shaped trader consensus that a commercial purchase remains improbable before year-end despite ongoing qualification efforts.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
Объем
$15,070Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Strong US regulatory and political barriers, including CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon blacklist over alleged military ties, are the main factors keeping the “No” outcome at 72.5% implied probability.** Apple has tested the Chinese firm’s DRAM chips for iPhones and MacBooks and held early talks focused on China-market devices to ease an AI-driven memory shortage, while lobbying the Trump administration for waivers. However, bipartisan senators have urged Apple to abandon any sourcing, even for China-only use, and recent reports indicate CXMT rejected Apple’s requests for discounted pricing. These hurdles, combined with technology-transfer restrictions and pressure to support allied suppliers like Micron, have shaped trader consensus that a commercial purchase remains improbable before year-end despite ongoing qualification efforts.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$15,070Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Strong US regulatory and political barriers, including CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon blacklist over alleged military ties, are the main factors keeping the “No” outcome at 72.5% implied probability.** Apple has tested the Chinese firm’s DRAM chips for iPhones and MacBooks and held early talks focused on China-market devices to ease an AI-driven memory shortage, while lobbying the Trump administration for waivers. However, bipartisan senators have urged Apple to abandon any sourcing, even for China-only use, and recent reports indicate CXMT rejected Apple’s requests for discounted pricing. These hurdles, combined with technology-transfer restrictions and pressure to support allied suppliers like Micron, have shaped trader consensus that a commercial purchase remains improbable before year-end despite ongoing qualification efforts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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