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icon for Будет ли Аргентина долларизироваться...?

Будет ли Аргентина долларизироваться...?

icon for Будет ли Аргентина долларизироваться...?

Будет ли Аргентина долларизироваться...?

$41,073 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$41,073 Объем

Polymarket
icon for 31 декабря 2026 года

31 декабря 2026 года

$11,406 Объем

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.President Javier Milei’s administration has shifted from campaign pledges of full official dollarization—replacing the peso with the U.S. dollar as legal tender—to a managed crawling peg and exchange-rate band system anchored between roughly 1,000 and 1,400 pesos per dollar. This pragmatic approach, combined with fiscal austerity, deregulation, and reported declines in inflation, has reduced the immediate need for currency substitution. Milei has publicly noted limited popular support for outright dollarization, while recent legislative gains have sustained reforms without triggering the monetary overhaul. Trader consensus assigns low probabilities to near-term resolution by late 2026, reflecting the absence of legislative or central-bank action and the government’s preference for gradual stabilization over abrupt monetary regime change. Scheduled fiscal and IMF-related reviews could still influence momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.

Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Объем
$41,073
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.President Javier Milei’s administration has shifted from campaign pledges of full official dollarization—replacing the peso with the U.S. dollar as legal tender—to a managed crawling peg and exchange-rate band system anchored between roughly 1,000 and 1,400 pesos per dollar. This pragmatic approach, combined with fiscal austerity, deregulation, and reported declines in inflation, has reduced the immediate need for currency substitution. Milei has publicly noted limited popular support for outright dollarization, while recent legislative gains have sustained reforms without triggering the monetary overhaul. Trader consensus assigns low probabilities to near-term resolution by late 2026, reflecting the absence of legislative or central-bank action and the government’s preference for gradual stabilization over abrupt monetary regime change. Scheduled fiscal and IMF-related reviews could still influence momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.

Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Объем
$41,073
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Будет ли Аргентина долларизироваться...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря 2026 года» с 3%, за ним следует «30 июня 2026 года» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 3¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 3%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Будет ли Аргентина долларизироваться...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $41.1K с момента запуска рынка Oct 31, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Будет ли Аргентина долларизироваться...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Будет ли Аргентина долларизироваться...?» — «31 декабря 2026 года» всего с 3%, а «30 июня 2026 года» близко позади с 0%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Будет ли Аргентина долларизироваться...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.