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icon for Объявит ли CMI проблему, связанную с Призом тысячелетия, решенную ___?

Объявит ли CMI проблему, связанную с Призом тысячелетия, решенную ___?

icon for Объявит ли CMI проблему, связанную с Призом тысячелетия, решенную ___?

Объявит ли CMI проблему, связанную с Призом тысячелетия, решенную ___?

$333,040 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$333,040 Объем

Polymarket

31 декабря 2026 года

$232,675 Объем

4%

31 декабря 2027 года

$68,071 Объем

16%

31 декабря 2028 года

$32,293 Объем

29%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.Recent OpenAI claims of resolving the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem via thousands of AI agents and Lean formalization have sparked intense trader focus on whether CMI will formally declare a Millennium Prize solved. The Clay Mathematics Institute acknowledged the breakthrough excitement in its September 11 statement but stressed its deliberately unhurried, rigorous evaluation process amid priority disputes involving mathematicians Tristan Buckmaster and Levent Alpöge. With only the Poincaré conjecture previously awarded and no official resolution yet, market sentiment hinges on verification timelines, community scrutiny of the singularity result, and any guild-like consensus from leading experts. Upcoming CMI updates or independent confirmations could rapidly shift implied probabilities in this high-uncertainty awards-style contest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI.

A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.

A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Объем
$333,040
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2029 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.Recent OpenAI claims of resolving the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem via thousands of AI agents and Lean formalization have sparked intense trader focus on whether CMI will formally declare a Millennium Prize solved. The Clay Mathematics Institute acknowledged the breakthrough excitement in its September 11 statement but stressed its deliberately unhurried, rigorous evaluation process amid priority disputes involving mathematicians Tristan Buckmaster and Levent Alpöge. With only the Poincaré conjecture previously awarded and no official resolution yet, market sentiment hinges on verification timelines, community scrutiny of the singularity result, and any guild-like consensus from leading experts. Upcoming CMI updates or independent confirmations could rapidly shift implied probabilities in this high-uncertainty awards-style contest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI.

A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.

A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Объем
$333,040
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2029 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Связанные

icon for Объявит ли CMI гипотезу Римана решённой к 31 декабря 2027 года?

Объявит ли CMI гипотезу Римана решённой к 31 декабря 2027 года?

16%
Да
icon for Объявит ли CMI задачу Навье–Стокса решённой к 31 декабря 2028 года?

Объявит ли CMI задачу Навье–Стокса решённой к 31 декабря 2028 года?

37%
Да
icon for Объявит ли ИИ-лаборатория о решении еще одной задачи тысячелетия до 31 декабря 2027 года?

Объявит ли ИИ-лаборатория о решении еще одной задачи тысячелетия до 31 декабря 2027 года?

85%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Объявит ли CMI проблему, связанную с Призом тысячелетия, решенную ___?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря 2028 года» с 28%, за ним следует «31 декабря 2027 года» с 16%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 28¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Объявит ли CMI проблему, связанную с Призом тысячелетия, решенную ___?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $333K с момента запуска рынка Jul 24, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Объявит ли CMI проблему, связанную с Призом тысячелетия, решенную ___?», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Объявит ли CMI проблему, связанную с Призом тысячелетия, решенную ___?» — «31 декабря 2028 года» с 28%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 декабря 2027 года» с 16%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Объявит ли CMI проблему, связанную с Призом тысячелетия, решенную ___?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.