Monetary policy divergence remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the Federal Reserve holding its target range at 3.50–3.75 percent after three 2025 cuts while the ECB raised its deposit rate to 2.25 percent in June before holding steady. This 125–150 basis point gap continues to support the dollar, though recent weaker U.S. employment data and resilient euro-area Q2 growth of 0.4 percent have narrowed market-implied expectations for further Fed tightening. Traders are watching September ECB and FOMC meetings for signals on whether the differential will compress, alongside inflation trajectories and any geopolitical shifts affecting risk sentiment. Current spot levels near 1.154 reflect these competing forces, with analyst forecasts for year-end ranging from 1.10 to above 1.20 depending on the pace of policy convergence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$88,825 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
↑ 1,40
6%
↑ 1,35
9%
↑ 1,30
7%
↑ 1,26
7%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
22%
↑ 1,20
25%
↓ 1,12
46%
↓ 1,10
41%
↓ 1,05
8%
↓ 1,00
8%
$88,825 Объем
↑ 1,40
$2,114 Объем
6%
↑ 1,35
$1,515 Объем
9%
↑ 1,30
$901 Объем
7%
↑ 1,26
$3,132 Объем
7%
↑ 1,24
$2,438 Объем
9%
↑ 1,22
$399 Объем
22%
↑ 1,20
$40,964 Объем
25%
↓ 1,12
$2,826 Объем
46%
↓ 1,10
$3,945 Объем
41%
↓ 1,05
$6,111 Объем
8%
↓ 1,00
$4,490 Объем
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the Federal Reserve holding its target range at 3.50–3.75 percent after three 2025 cuts while the ECB raised its deposit rate to 2.25 percent in June before holding steady. This 125–150 basis point gap continues to support the dollar, though recent weaker U.S. employment data and resilient euro-area Q2 growth of 0.4 percent have narrowed market-implied expectations for further Fed tightening. Traders are watching September ECB and FOMC meetings for signals on whether the differential will compress, alongside inflation trajectories and any geopolitical shifts affecting risk sentiment. Current spot levels near 1.154 reflect these competing forces, with analyst forecasts for year-end ranging from 1.10 to above 1.20 depending on the pace of policy convergence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Открытие рынка: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Объем
$88,825Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the Federal Reserve holding its target range at 3.50–3.75 percent after three 2025 cuts while the ECB raised its deposit rate to 2.25 percent in June before holding steady. This 125–150 basis point gap continues to support the dollar, though recent weaker U.S. employment data and resilient euro-area Q2 growth of 0.4 percent have narrowed market-implied expectations for further Fed tightening. Traders are watching September ECB and FOMC meetings for signals on whether the differential will compress, alongside inflation trajectories and any geopolitical shifts affecting risk sentiment. Current spot levels near 1.154 reflect these competing forces, with analyst forecasts for year-end ranging from 1.10 to above 1.20 depending on the pace of policy convergence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Объем
$88,825Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the Federal Reserve holding its target range at 3.50–3.75 percent after three 2025 cuts while the ECB raised its deposit rate to 2.25 percent in June before holding steady. This 125–150 basis point gap continues to support the dollar, though recent weaker U.S. employment data and resilient euro-area Q2 growth of 0.4 percent have narrowed market-implied expectations for further Fed tightening. Traders are watching September ECB and FOMC meetings for signals on whether the differential will compress, alongside inflation trajectories and any geopolitical shifts affecting risk sentiment. Current spot levels near 1.154 reflect these competing forces, with analyst forecasts for year-end ranging from 1.10 to above 1.20 depending on the pace of policy convergence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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