Monetary policy divergence between the European Central Bank and Federal Reserve remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment, with the ECB lifting its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.25% in June while the Fed faces sticky inflation near 3% and mixed signals on further adjustments. The pair has traded near 1.156–1.159 in mid-August 2026 after recovering from July lows around 1.13, supported by a softer dollar and expectations that narrowing rate differentials could favor the euro. Recent U.S. data resilience and eurozone inflation forecasts averaging 3.0% for 2026 introduce volatility, while upcoming FOMC and ECB meetings plus key CPI and employment releases will shape near-term moves. Traders price in modest further ECB tightening versus potential Fed easing, creating a narrow but contested range for year-end levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$88,909 Объем
↑ 1,40
3%
↑ 1,35
3%
↑ 1,30
7%
↑ 1,26
8%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
23%
↑ 1,20
27%
↓ 1,12
37%
↓ 1,10
40%
↓ 1,05
9%
↓ 1,00
6%
$88,909 Объем
↑ 1,40
3%
↑ 1,35
3%
↑ 1,30
7%
↑ 1,26
8%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
23%
↑ 1,20
27%
↓ 1,12
37%
↓ 1,10
40%
↓ 1,05
9%
↓ 1,00
6%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Открытие рынка: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the European Central Bank and Federal Reserve remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment, with the ECB lifting its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.25% in June while the Fed faces sticky inflation near 3% and mixed signals on further adjustments. The pair has traded near 1.156–1.159 in mid-August 2026 after recovering from July lows around 1.13, supported by a softer dollar and expectations that narrowing rate differentials could favor the euro. Recent U.S. data resilience and eurozone inflation forecasts averaging 3.0% for 2026 introduce volatility, while upcoming FOMC and ECB meetings plus key CPI and employment releases will shape near-term moves. Traders price in modest further ECB tightening versus potential Fed easing, creating a narrow but contested range for year-end levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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