FalleN’s planned retirement at the end of 2026 after more than two decades of play, combined with FURIA’s 0-3 loss to Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 final, anchors trader skepticism. The 35-year-old AWPer and IGL has not secured an S-Tier title since his 2016 Major wins, and while FURIA advanced deep at Cologne and posted recent wins at the Esports World Cup 2026, consistent results against elite international rosters remain elusive. Intense competition from teams like Falcons, Vitality, and Spirit, alongside FalleN’s age and the shortened timeline before his exit, limits the implied probability of a late-year breakthrough despite the Brazilian roster’s occasional deep runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено34% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
34% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.
Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above.
If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FalleN’s planned retirement at the end of 2026 after more than two decades of play, combined with FURIA’s 0-3 loss to Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 final, anchors trader skepticism. The 35-year-old AWPer and IGL has not secured an S-Tier title since his 2016 Major wins, and while FURIA advanced deep at Cologne and posted recent wins at the Esports World Cup 2026, consistent results against elite international rosters remain elusive. Intense competition from teams like Falcons, Vitality, and Spirit, alongside FalleN’s age and the shortened timeline before his exit, limits the implied probability of a late-year breakthrough despite the Brazilian roster’s occasional deep runs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.
Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above.
If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.
Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above.
If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.
Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above.
If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FalleN’s planned retirement at the end of 2026 after more than two decades of play, combined with FURIA’s 0-3 loss to Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 final, anchors trader skepticism. The 35-year-old AWPer and IGL has not secured an S-Tier title since his 2016 Major wins, and while FURIA advanced deep at Cologne and posted recent wins at the Esports World Cup 2026, consistent results against elite international rosters remain elusive. Intense competition from teams like Falcons, Vitality, and Spirit, alongside FalleN’s age and the shortened timeline before his exit, limits the implied probability of a late-year breakthrough despite the Brazilian roster’s occasional deep runs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.
Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above.
If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.
Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event. Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify. The match or standing that decides the event title must conclude within the window above.
If it cannot be determined whether FalleN won a qualifying event by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant tournament organizers and HLTV.org, with tier classification per Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...FalleN’s planned retirement at the end of 2026 after more than two decades of play, combined with FURIA’s 0-3 loss to Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 final, anchors trader skepticism. The 35-year-old AWPer and IGL has not secured an S-Tier title since his 2016 Major wins, and while FURIA advanced deep at Cologne and posted recent wins at the Esports World Cup 2026, consistent results against elite international rosters remain elusive. Intense competition from teams like Falcons, Vitality, and Spirit, alongside FalleN’s age and the shortened timeline before his exit, limits the implied probability of a late-year breakthrough despite the Brazilian roster’s occasional deep runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы