eBay's rejection yesterday of GameStop's unsolicited $55.5 billion cash-and-stock takeover bid at $125 per share—representing a 46% premium—has solidified trader consensus against the deal, driving the market-implied "No" probability to 84.5%. GameStop's $10 billion market cap pales against eBay's $48 billion valuation, raising insurmountable financing hurdles for the proposed 50/50 structure amid GME's limited cash reserves and massive dilution risks for shareholders. eBay's board cited inadequate funding certainty, excessive leverage, and governance concerns, echoing broader skepticism from GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen's evasive CNBC appearance last week that triggered a 10% GME share drop. With no credible path to regulatory approval or sweetened terms evident, traders price in slim odds of revival ahead of potential Q2 earnings catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли GameStop покупать eBay?
Будет ли GameStop покупать eBay?
Да
$827,696 Объем
$827,696 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$827,696 Объем
$827,696 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.eBay's rejection yesterday of GameStop's unsolicited $55.5 billion cash-and-stock takeover bid at $125 per share—representing a 46% premium—has solidified trader consensus against the deal, driving the market-implied "No" probability to 84.5%. GameStop's $10 billion market cap pales against eBay's $48 billion valuation, raising insurmountable financing hurdles for the proposed 50/50 structure amid GME's limited cash reserves and massive dilution risks for shareholders. eBay's board cited inadequate funding certainty, excessive leverage, and governance concerns, echoing broader skepticism from GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen's evasive CNBC appearance last week that triggered a 10% GME share drop. With no credible path to regulatory approval or sweetened terms evident, traders price in slim odds of revival ahead of potential Q2 earnings catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ET
Объем
$827,696Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.eBay's rejection yesterday of GameStop's unsolicited $55.5 billion cash-and-stock takeover bid at $125 per share—representing a 46% premium—has solidified trader consensus against the deal, driving the market-implied "No" probability to 84.5%. GameStop's $10 billion market cap pales against eBay's $48 billion valuation, raising insurmountable financing hurdles for the proposed 50/50 structure amid GME's limited cash reserves and massive dilution risks for shareholders. eBay's board cited inadequate funding certainty, excessive leverage, and governance concerns, echoing broader skepticism from GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen's evasive CNBC appearance last week that triggered a 10% GME share drop. With no credible path to regulatory approval or sweetened terms evident, traders price in slim odds of revival ahead of potential Q2 earnings catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$827,696Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...eBay's rejection yesterday of GameStop's unsolicited $55.5 billion cash-and-stock takeover bid at $125 per share—representing a 46% premium—has solidified trader consensus against the deal, driving the market-implied "No" probability to 84.5%. GameStop's $10 billion market cap pales against eBay's $48 billion valuation, raising insurmountable financing hurdles for the proposed 50/50 structure amid GME's limited cash reserves and massive dilution risks for shareholders. eBay's board cited inadequate funding certainty, excessive leverage, and governance concerns, echoing broader skepticism from GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen's evasive CNBC appearance last week that triggered a 10% GME share drop. With no credible path to regulatory approval or sweetened terms evident, traders price in slim odds of revival ahead of potential Q2 earnings catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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